Military action: china & taiwan
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-27; last seen 2026-06-25.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/military-action-china-taiwan (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
Dormant record: the crowd hasn’t priced this since 2026-06-25. The record stays maintained; the prices and questions below reflect that last-priced date, not today.
Surfaced from prediction-market pricing: we cite the crowd’s questions here as a consensus sensor, not as an event we’ve independently reported.
513
news items our join has matched to this event family — the list below shows recent reporting, not the full set.
4
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 2 shown below.
4
time windows tracked — evenly split: 2026, September 2026, June 2027, December 2027.
108 tracked mentions by market deadline window — evenly split across 2026, September 2026, June 2027, December 2027.
In the coverage
Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- US Senate clears Russia sanctions bill targeting India, China over oil trade · Reddit r/india · 2026-08-08
- Webinar Clip: China's Imported Iron Ore Market H1 Review and H2 Outlook · Mysteel · 2026-08-07
- Weak yen boosts Japan automaker profits, easing Middle East, China stress · Nikkei Asia · 2026-08-07
- US telecoms regulator chief says curbs on Chinese tech imports aim to spur production, counter security risks · Reuters · 2026-08-07
- Trump’s Tariffs Are Sending Some Companies Back to China · Reddit r/economics · 2026-08-07
- Trump unveils trade actions to compete with China on solar and chips · Reuters · 2026-08-07
- Trump orders new 15% tariff on key material for solar panels and microchips. Move to raise levy on goods made with polysilicon aims to protect domestic US supply chains from China, the major producer. · Reddit r/climate · 2026-08-07
- Trump imposes 15% tariff on key chip material to counter China · BBC News — Business · 2026-08-07
- Taiwan manufacturer settles case over falsified customs entries for $5.2M · FreightWaves · 2026-08-07
- South Korea, Taiwan top Japan in exports for first time on AI boom · Nikkei Asia · 2026-08-07
- Smart #2 revealed in regulatory filing in China · Reddit r/electricvehicles · 2026-08-07
- STAT+: Pharmalittle: We’re reading about Moderna’s flu shot, a death in a gene-editing trial in China, and more · STAT News — All Content · 2026-08-07
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.