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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Anthropic

The AI safety company behind the Claude model family.

Coverage of Anthropic is holding steady : 38 signals on the latest tracked day, up 124% from its three-week baseline of 17, across 10 domains (down from 42 a week ago). That makes it the #170 most-covered of the 337 concerns we track.

Anthropic is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 17 signals a day across 10 domains (46 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 22+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 10. That is the move that would push it up the Wire. It sits on our AI & Compute Desk.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 2,059 tracked stories from 347 outlets, reporting on Anthropic most often describes public statements (157), launches or releases (99), IPOs or listings (52), acquisition (30), meetings or visits (27), military action (26).

It shows up alongside OpenAI (1276 — meetings or visits ×3), AI (1673 — acquisition ×5, meetings or visits ×3), Google (536 — meetings or visits ×2), AI Models (387), China (386), Meta (317), Nvidia (304 — meetings or visits ×2), Amodei (284).

Two steps out: Papers (through AI, 1076 shared stories on the weaker link); Citation (through AI, 1013 shared stories on the weaker link); Citations (through AI, 998 shared stories on the weaker link); Explorer (through AI, 981 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 3, with coverage on 175 separate days — concentrated in AI Investing and Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 12 – Sep 26, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 26, 4:54 PM PT