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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Housing

The residential real-estate market — home prices, construction, rents, and mortgage costs.

Coverage of Housing is holding steady : 41 signals on the latest tracked day, up 116% from its three-week baseline of 19, across 11 domains (down from 46 a week ago). That makes it the #156 most-covered of the 337 concerns we track.

Housing is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 19 signals a day across 11 domains (46 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 24+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 11. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside Inflation (247), AI (231), Interest Rates (219), Treasury (125), Federal Reserve (121 — sanctions or trade ×2), Texas (120), Trump (157), Citi (155).

Two steps out: Central Bank (through Inflation, 247 shared stories on the weaker link); CPI (through Inflation, 247 shared stories on the weaker link); Iran (through Inflation, 247 shared stories on the weaker link); Middle East (through Inflation, 247 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Jan 26, with coverage on 122 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 12 – Sep 26, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 26, 4:54 PM PT