Resignation: iran
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-07-10; last seen 2026-07-10.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/resignation-iran (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
Dormant record: the crowd hasn’t priced this since 2026-07-10. The record stays maintained; the prices and questions below reflect that last-priced date, not today.
Surfaced from prediction-market pricing: we cite the crowd’s questions here as a consensus sensor, not as an event we’ve independently reported.
601
news items our join has matched to this event family — the list below shows recent reporting, not the full set.
4
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 2 shown below.
2
time windows tracked — evenly split: September 2026, December 2026.
78 tracked mentions by market deadline window — evenly split across September 2026, December 2026.
In the coverage
Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- US sanctions Dubai crypto exchange for aiding Iran’s IRGC · Al Arabiya English · 2026-08-08
- Saudi expects imminent two-pronged attack from Iran's allies, official says · Reuters · 2026-08-08
- Iran, Oman deal on Strait of Hormuz getting close, Tehran says · cbsnews.com · 2026-08-08
- Iran Update Special Report, August 6, 2026 · Institute for the Study of War · 2026-08-08
- CNN: Top general says US needs ‘off ramp’ from Iran war · Middle East Eye Turkey · 2026-08-08
- ‘A claim to be tested’: Can Saudi Arabia-Turkey-Pakistan defense pact deter Iran? · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-07
- World food prices hit 3-year high in July as weather and war weigh, FAO says. The FAO's chief economist said the world faces another bout of food inflation as wars in Iran and Ukraine along with El Nino create a perfect storm of higher costs and lower crop yields. · Reddit r/climate · 2026-08-07
- Water system controllers don't belong on the internet, says ex-NSA chief after suspected Iran attacks · The Register · 2026-08-07
- War on Iran: Saudi Arabia warns of imminent attacks by Iraqi groups and Yemen's Houthis · Middle East Eye · 2026-08-07
- Vessel traffic through Hormuz dwindles this week as markets watch Iran-Oman talks · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-07
- US-Israel war on Iran upends Europe’s summer holiday travel patterns · Al Jazeera · 2026-08-07
- US-Iran War Live Updates: Netanyahu calls PM Modi to discuss India-Israel relations, Iran war · Reddit r/india · 2026-08-07
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.