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On the record Β· 5 Nov 2026

The morning read.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? is at 4%, with a 24h delta of -18.0%. The market moved on $169,190 of volume. Supreme Court rejects Trump administration's bid to set aside 20,000 California ballots (News from California, across the nation and world - Los Angeles Times).

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? is at 42%, with a 24h delta of +29.4%.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6? is at 92%, with a 24h delta of +32.5%. Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8? is at 52%, with a 24h delta of +29.0%. Polkadot's $0.9417 support faces pressure as bearish trend holds (The Cryptonomist).

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? is at 4% on Polymarket. Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? is at 42% on Polymarket.

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