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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

United States

The world's largest economy and preeminent military power.

Coverage of United States is holding steady : 168 signals on the latest tracked day, up 3260% from its three-week baseline of 5, across 14 domains (down from 86 a week ago). That makes it the #131 most-covered of the 337 concerns we track.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 4,072 tracked stories from 413 outlets, reporting on United States most often describes public statements (226), military action (224), meetings or visits (174), sanctions or trade (124), launches or releases (107), regulatory approvals (62).

It shows up alongside Trump (1363), Iran (1104), China (983), AI (881), President Donald Trump (868), Oil (831), Russia (688), Israel (679).

Two steps out: Hormuz (through Iran, 1104 shared stories on the weaker link); Middle East (through Iran, 1104 shared stories on the weaker link); Saudi Arabia (through Iran, 1008 shared stories on the weaker link); Anthropic (through AI, 881 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Sep 8, with coverage on 75 separate days.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?” held at 90% between Aug 12 and Sep 26.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 12 – Sep 26, 44 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 26, 6:19 PM PT