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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

AI

Artificial Intelligence — Computer systems that perform tasks that normally require human intelligence — language, vision, prediction, reasoning.

Coverage of AI is holding steady : 209 signals on the latest tracked day, down 24% from its three-week baseline of 276, across 59 domains (up from 58 a week ago). That makes it the #1 most-covered of the 274 concerns we track.

AI is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 276 signals a day across 59 domains (46 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 344+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 59. That is the move that would push it up the Wire. It sits on our AI & Compute Desk.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside OpenAI (700 — acquisition ×2, meetings or visits ×2), Anthropic (652 — meetings or visits ×2), Google (409 — acquisition ×2), Nvidia (268), China (455), Meta (179), Microsoft (318), Iran (235).

Two steps out: Russia (through China, 267 shared stories on the weaker link); Hormuz (through Iran, 235 shared stories on the weaker link); Israel (through Iran, 235 shared stories on the weaker link); Middle East (through Iran, 235 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 3, with coverage on 145 separate days — concentrated in AI Investing.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jun 24 – Aug 8, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 8, 7:53 PM PT