Russia–Ukraine war
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-08-01.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/russia-ukraine-war (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
740
news items matched to this event in the coverage window — the list below is a sample, not the full set.
32
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 6 shown below.
7
time windows tracked — most active: December 2026.
645 tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is December 2026.
In the coverage
A sample of the recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- US Senate clears Russia sanctions bill targeting India, China over oil trade · Reddit r/india · 2026-08-08
- Trump imposes 15% tariff on polysilicon imports for chips, solar power · Supply Chain Dive · 2026-08-08
- The Trump administration has refunded $100 billion in tariffs. Will you get any of the money? · Reddit r/economy · 2026-08-08
- Donald Trump renews effort to fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook · Al Jazeera · 2026-08-08
- Crypto.com previously "unburned" 70B CRO to secure funding for a deal with the Trump family including a "CRO Digital Asset Treasury". The Trump family just walked away and CDC is trying to make it look like "buying advertising" is a "Marketing Arrangement" while CRO holders get nothing. · Reddit r/CryptoCurrency · 2026-08-08
- ‘Way too early’: Trump declines to endorse JD Vance for 2028 after report of private backing · Moneycontrol.com · 2026-08-07
- russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine: EU lists five additional individuals supporting russia’s military-industrial complex · Reddit r/europeanunion · 2026-08-07
- russia-linked accounts spread far-right narrative online during Ceuta migration crisis, analysis finds | Social media · Reddit r/europeanunion · 2026-08-07
- Zelenskyy to make 1st trip to one of Russia's closest European partners · Daily Sabah economy · 2026-08-07
- Wyden, Merkley Demand Trump Administration Drop Effort to Weaken Health Protections for Millions of Americans · Merkley (.gov) · 2026-08-07
- World food prices hit 3-year high in July as weather and war weigh, FAO says. The FAO's chief economist said the world faces another bout of food inflation as wars in Iran and Ukraine along with El Nino create a perfect storm of higher costs and lower crop yields. · Reddit r/climate · 2026-08-07
- Why Ukraine is targeting Wildberries – and why it matters · Daily Sabah economy · 2026-08-07
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.