Strait of Hormuz
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-08-07.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/strait-of-hormuz (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
183
news items matched to this event in the coverage window — the list below is a sample, not the full set.
25
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 6 shown below.
3
time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
2,269 tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is 2026.
In the coverage
A sample of the recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- US expects deal soon on Strait of Hormuz; Sunni powers unite in defense pact · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-08
- Iran, Oman deal on Strait of Hormuz getting close, Tehran says · cbsnews.com · 2026-08-08
- Vessel traffic through Hormuz dwindles this week as markets watch Iran-Oman talks · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-07
- US official: We expect a deal soon between Iran and Oman on Strait of Hormuz · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-08-07
- US official: 'We expect a deal soon' between Iran and Oman on Strait of Hormuz · Middle East Eye Turkey · 2026-08-07
- The emerging deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz reportedly recognizes Iran’s control: ‘The concession has already been made’ · Reddit r/geopolitics · 2026-08-07
- Shipping Through Hormuz Drops Sharply as Tensions Rise · Oil Price · 2026-08-07
- Shipping Industry Pushes Back Against Proposed Hormuz Transit Fees · Global Trade Magazine · 2026-08-07
- Seoul shares turn lower late Friday morning amid renewed Hormuz tensions · Korea Times · 2026-08-07
- Seoul shares turn lower late Fri. morning amid renewed Hormuz tensions · Yonhap English · 2026-08-07
- Seoul shares open higher on tech gains despite renewed Hormuz tensions · Korea Times · 2026-08-07
- Sensex drops over 200 points, Nifty tests 23,600 as Strait of Hormuz tensions rattle oil markets · Economic Times · 2026-08-07
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.