Product launch · market-priced

Product launch: argon & gemini

SigB keeps one record for this event, covering news reports and prediction-market questions. Tracked since 2026-09-01; last priced 2026-10-29.

Developers can read this record at /api/record/product-launch-gemini or with the get_topic_record MCP tool.

This record began from prediction-market questions, which SigB cites as one source.

Matched news mentions
83
News items matched to this event. The most recent are listed below.
Market questions
21
Questions markets are pricing. Questions that differ only by price level or deadline are grouped into the 6 listed below.

Who is involved in Product launch: argon & gemini

Names this situation's own reports carry in at least two separate outlets; bigger circles mean more outlets name it. A dashed circle has no page of its own yet.

Argon · named by 10 separate outlets in its reports · no page of its own yet
Google · named by 4 separate outlets in its reports
Deepmind · named by 2 separate outlets in its reports · no page of its own yet
Google Gemini · named by 2 separate outlets in its reports · no page of its own yet

Walk the record from Product launch: argon & gemini

Open where it comes from, follow a claim or a related name, and use the trail to come back. Every step says what it is, how it stands and when. Machines read the same record.

Product launch: Gemini

Situation.

Evidence: 83 documents · 51 separate publishers · a match is coverage, not verification
Standing: Added automatically from coverage
Time: first seen 1 Sept 2026, last seen 29 Oct 2026
Measured: 41% of matching documents describe a specific action; the rest only mention it
As of: 10 Nov 2026

5 links from here

Links from here: none on file at this cutoff.

Who and what is involved: the 4 names are in the map above.

What it is about (1)

Gemini

Related situations (0)

none shares a name its reports carry

For machines: this record as JSON

Watch this

Who this involves

What it is about: Gemini.

Names this event’s own reports carry in at least two separate outlets.

Argon · 10 outlets
Google · 4 outlets
Deepmind · 2 outlets
Google Gemini · 2 outlets

In the coverage

Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline. As of 2026-11-10, newest first.

Google Deepmind releases Gemini 4 Carbon just two weeks after Argon with gains across the boardThe Decoder · 2026-10-28
Gemini 4 Carbon: Benchmarks, Price and Release DateFello AI · 2026-10-28
AssemblyAI benchmark ranks Gemini 4 Argon first for dictation cleanupBlockchain News · 2026-10-28
Google says Gemini 4 Argon ranks well behind Claude and GPT-6 for Android coding9to5Google · 2026-10-26
Google Gemini 4 Argon Costs 33% Less to Run vs ChatGPT 6.1Geeky Gadgets · 2026-10-25
Gemini vs ChatGPT: Same $2/$10 Price, Argon #1 Claim [2026]shattered.io · 2026-10-24
Kimi K3.1, Qwen 4 and a Gemini 4.5 Argon? Nobody Expected THISGeeky Gadgets · 2026-10-23
Gemini 4 Argon's 25 trillion tokens in 72 hours leave Google short of computePPC Land · 2026-10-23
What Google’s Gemini 4 Argon means for small businessTechBullion · 2026-10-22
Google DeepMind uses Gemini 4 Argon to teach Apptronik’s Apollo humanoid new skills from videoRobotics & Automation News · 2026-10-22
Gemini 4 Argon vs GPT-6 Astra: Real Cost per Task AlternativesMemeburn · 2026-10-22
ChatGPTやGeminiの性格診断結果をArtificial Analysisが公開、Gemini 4 Argonは媚びやすくClaude Fable 5.1は説得力があるGIGAZINE · 2026-10-22

What markets are asking

Questions from public prediction markets, each with its last price and the date it was seen.

Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? · 7 months outView this question on Polymarket · last price 98.15% Yes, seen 2026-10-29
Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · 7 months outView this question on Polymarket · last price 96.95% Yes, seen 2026-10-29
Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by January 3, 2027? · 2 months outView this question on Polymarket · last price 0.1% Yes, seen 2026-11-10
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?View this question on Polymarket · last price 99.95% Yes, seen 2026-10-14
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?View this question on Polymarket · last price 98.85% Yes, seen 2026-11-10
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?View this question on Polymarket · last price 48.5% Yes, seen 2026-11-10

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Prices are the market’s own, cited with the venue. Mention counts come from SigB’s tracked coverage. Informational only, not advice. As of 2026-11-10.