Disaster: earthquake
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-08-07.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/disaster-event-earthquake (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
709
news items our join has matched to this event family — the list below shows recent reporting, not the full set.
15
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 4 shown below.
2
time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
356 tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is 2026.
In the coverage
Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- What Kumamoto revealed about Japan’s earthquake readiness · Japan Times — All News · 2026-08-07
- M5.4 earthquake — 145 km E of Yamada, Japan · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-07
- M5.3 earthquake — 7 km SSW of Huayucachi, Peru · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-07
- M5.1 earthquake — 110 km W of Buala, Solomon Islands · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-07
- M5.0 earthquake — 7 km NW of Cabacao, Philippines · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-07
- Rebuilt Malatya bazaar revives commerce after 2023 earthquakes · Daily Sabah economy · 2026-08-06
- M5.6 earthquake — 40 km SW of Sarangani, Philippines · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-06
- M5.3 earthquake — 62 km W of Tobelo, Indonesia · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-06
- M5.2 earthquake — 31 km SSW of Ialibu, Papua New Guinea · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-06
- El-Sayed's victory sends tremors through Democratic Party · BBC Democracy · 2026-08-06
- Codelco suspends Andes Norte development amid seismic risk concerns · Mining Technology · 2026-08-06
- Owner of Kumamoto inn expresses resolve amid concern over earthquake damage · Japan Times — All News · 2026-08-05
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-08 · live snapshot.