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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Unemployment

The share of the labor force without work; a core gauge of economic health.

Coverage of Unemployment is rising : 11 signals on the latest tracked day, up 120% from its three-week baseline of 5, across 3 domains (down from 4 a week ago). That makes it the #97 most-covered of the 274 concerns we track.

If Unemployment matters to your work, coverage is climbing off its baseline — worth a closer-than-usual look this week.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 110 tracked stories from 52 outlets, reporting on Unemployment most often describes economic releases (18), military action (3), price levels (3), rate decisions (3), public statements (2), launches or releases (2).

It shows up alongside AI (26), Inflation (21), Interest Rates (19), Federal Reserve (18), Iran (18), Oil (15), Housing (13), Bitcoin (12).

Two steps out: Amazon (through AI, 26 shared stories on the weaker link); Anthropic (through AI, 26 shared stories on the weaker link); China (through AI, 26 shared stories on the weaker link); European Union (through AI, 26 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 6, with coverage on 23 separate days.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?” rose 3 points between Jun 24 and Jul 27, from 5% to 8%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jun 25 – Aug 8, 22 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 8, 8:53 PM PT