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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Federal Reserve

The central bank of the United States; it sets interest rates and manages the money supply.

Coverage of Federal Reserve is holding steady : 25 signals on the latest tracked day, up 212% from its three-week baseline of 8, across 7 domains (down from 27 a week ago). That makes it the #271 most-covered of the 337 concerns we track.

Federal Reserve is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 8 signals a day across 7 domains (42 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 10+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 7. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 1,115 tracked stories from 158 outlets, reporting on Federal Reserve most often describes rate decisions (255), economic releases (57), price levels (30), public statements (29), meetings or visits (16), launches or releases (14).

It shows up alongside Interest Rates (713), Inflation (527), Treasury (377), AI (245), Crypto (233), CPI (222), Bitcoin (212), Central Bank (193).

Two steps out: Iran (through Inflation, 527 shared stories on the weaker link); Oil (through Inflation, 527 shared stories on the weaker link); Trump (through Inflation, 428 shared stories on the weaker link); Middle East (through Inflation, 426 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 14, with coverage on 55 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 12 – Sep 26, 42 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 26, 6:21 PM PT