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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Earthquake

Sudden ground shaking from shifts in the Earth's crust; tracked for disaster, insurance, and infrastructure impact.

Coverage of Earthquake is fading : 3 signals on the latest tracked day, down 40% from its three-week baseline of 5, across 3 domains (down from 5 a week ago). That makes it the #272 most-covered of the 274 concerns we track.

If Earthquake matters to your work, attention is draining away — the pace of news no longer demands a daily check.

What’s changed

5 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 786 tracked stories from 46 outlets, reporting on Earthquake most often describes disaster (700), military action (4), sporting outcomes (2), launches or releases (2), regulatory approvals (1), acquisition (1).

It shows up alongside Philippines (87), Indonesia (52), Japan (77), Taiwan (23), Chile (21), Russia (36), Peru (16), China (27).

Two steps out: AI (through Japan, 77 shared stories on the weaker link); South Korea (through Japan, 77 shared stories on the weaker link); United States (through Japan, 77 shared stories on the weaker link); Seoul (through Japan, 65 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 6, with coverage on 112 separate days — concentrated in Geophysical.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jun 25 – Aug 7, 32 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 8, 8:51 PM PT