{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"venezuela-crisis","title":"The Venezuela crisis record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/venezuela-crisis and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/venezuela-crisis so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by July 31, 2026?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":15,"outlets":11,"activeDays":9,"firstSeen":"2026-04-16","lastSeen":"2026-08-07","homeDomains":["prediction_markets","energy"],"asserts":{"utterance":7,"military-action":1,"sanction-trade":1},"assertionCoverage":0.6,"movesWith":[{"label":"venezuela","n":10,"sharedDomains":["energy"]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":2883,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":145},{"period":"2026-12","mentions":116},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":782},{"period":"2026","mentions":1840}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[{"question":"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by July 31, 2026?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":100,"change24hPct":58.5,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-07-09","deadline":"2026-07-31","deadlinePassed":true,"reading":"belief, not fact","status":"historical capture — deadline passed, kept as recorded; final resolution at the venue"}],"eventArc":{"name":"Venezuela crisis","slug":"venezuela-crisis","questionCount":22,"questions":["Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?","Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?","Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?","Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?","Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?","Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026?"],"mentions":2883,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-08-08"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"new","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-24T15:18:02.133862+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-24T15:18:02.133862+00:00"}]}}}