{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"us-midterms-2026","title":"The U.S. midterms 2026 record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/us-midterms-2026 and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/us-midterms-2026 so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Ag stakeholders react to Democrats’ rebuke of Senate committee’s farm bill text","url":"https://www.agdaily.com/news/ag-stakeholders-react-democrats-rebuke-senate-committee-farm-bill-text/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Trump’s Aussie diplomat bound for Canberra after Senate nod","url":"https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/trump-s-aussie-diplomat-bound-for-canberra-after-senate-nod-20260807-p60m74?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Senate adjourns with no vote on Clarity Act","url":"https://bankingjournal.aba.com/2026/08/senate-adjourns-with-no-vote-on-clarity-act/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Senate confirms Crews to NCUA board","url":"https://bankingjournal.aba.com/2026/08/senate-confirms-crews-to-ncua-board/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":335,"outlets":90,"activeDays":49,"firstSeen":"2026-03-18","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["crypto_defi"],"asserts":{"election":51,"utterance":8,"regulatory-approval":7,"sanction-trade":6,"launch-release":4,"military-action":4},"assertionCoverage":0.263,"movesWith":[{"label":"trump","n":113,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"crypto","n":51,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"label":"congress","n":106,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"clarity act","n":47,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"label":"bitcoin","n":23,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"label":"iran","n":36,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"pentagon","n":34,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"united states","n":28,"sharedDomains":[]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":117,"reading":"Our coverage of U.S. midterms 2026 is 117% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":85,"eventMentions":5690,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":376},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":2},{"period":"2026","mentions":5312}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"U.S. midterms 2026","slug":"us-midterms-2026","questionCount":23,"questions":["Will Katherine Clark be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?","Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?","Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?","Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?"],"mentions":5690,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-08-05"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-27T15:37:45.852260+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-02T15:08:36.484814+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-02T15:08:36.484814+00:00"}]}}}