{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"product-launch-spacex-starlink","title":"The Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"spacex","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"spacex\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["spacex","starlink"],"alsoDefensible":["starlink"],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"launch-release"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-26","currency":{"state":"not-current","asOf":"2026-09-05","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-26","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-05","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (event-graph)","ageDays":21,"expectedCadenceDays":2,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 10 active day(s) over a 17-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is no longer current: nothing new has been observed since 2026-09-05, 21 days ago, against its expected cadence of about one item every 2 days — more than 3 times its usual gap."},"generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/product-launch-spacex-starlink and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/product-launch-spacex-starlink so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"spacex\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 10 attributable rows sampled for \"spacex\", 4 served, 6 withheld as not shown to be about \"Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":10,"served":4,"withheldNotEventRelevant":6,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["product","launch","starlink"],"questionSet":[]},"items":[{"title":"Starbase Louisiana: SpaceX announces enormous $100 billion Starbase launch site","url":"https://www.space.com/space-exploration/private-spaceflight/spacex-announces-enormous-usd100-billion-starbase-louisiana-starship-launch-site","date":"2026-08-25","source":"Space.com","eventTerms":["launch"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Starfish Space’s Debut Otter Vehicle Hitches a Ride on SpaceX’s Transporter-18 Launch","url":"https://www.satellitetoday.com/sustainability/2026/09/25/starfish-spaces-debut-otter-vehicle-hitches-a-ride-on-spacexs-transporter-18-launch/","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["launch"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"SpaceX Falcon 9 to launch classified mission for U.S. Space Force from West Coast - Spaceflight Now","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPUmctMWhJYi1UMURmSE5DdVBPcXIySU0yWEJkWk52RF9kUHFfekp5RTNpVnF3dUsyWTRUOTk5dzY5REc1WXExUlEyeU52VWZ6OXpJWm5yMjg0MUZKS3Q2VnJabGw0OXNMU2ViM3lsV0lvWDlHS2lhVndSN1hoUmVjaVZBckJJNTdxc3pndUQzWktRdmlHTERVTnJhUUo1RkEyZmxXYnNYNHVRVFA5Y1IzLVBaRTJqSy1VQi1F?oc=5","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["launch"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"SpaceX set to launch U.S. Space Force mission early Saturday from Vandenberg SFB - Santa Maria Times","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwJBVV95cUxPc2lENENzQl9zM3RGeWJsMVZWZjVBMThrUWlxamJ3SkNMRDVkMGV4dl9DdGlxanZuRm5EbThVNkRINEV3OVlwQzh2dmdQMzhXQ016ZVhmV25Sa201cTktYkVGczJ1Y3l1Z3RTQWtZQnZOaEhTcjgwN2pyVGdmY0FfaEI3YXFuVGVoY1podHBncTZYS0RNTTZxLWZJakZNVDVWWENkeEdrWEtNUG8tRnlLOV9lZk9kZC1sS2tUUmh4M2VSa1k2UjlrT3V0QXg1dWFYRm94UlhWS0JMQ05WSHRrTmw4c1l5MFdRc3Z2cU1EUkNTa3RrV3F4OTBVdXlYMGotYWpyU2pNTDRsRy1XQWc2ODE1WXBPQ2s?oc=5","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["launch"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":397,"outlets":108,"activeDays":10,"firstSeen":"2026-08-20","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-05","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-08-20","end":"2026-09-05","activeDays":10,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 10 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":832,"outlets":191,"activeDays":149,"since":"2026-03-03","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":["aerospace_defense"],"asserts":{"launch-release":223,"ipo-listing":33,"utterance":30,"acquisition":16,"funding-round":14,"military-action":13},"assertionCoverage":0.428,"movesWith":[{"name":"earth","together":209,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"falcon","together":206,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"nasa","together":191,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"starlink","together":170,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"space force","together":153,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"ai","together":224},{"name":"elon musk","together":164},{"name":"anthropic","together":108}],"movesWithLabels":["earth","falcon","nasa","starlink","space force","ai","elon musk","anthropic"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":-49,"reading":"Our coverage of Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink is 49% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":131,"eventMentions":31,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":31}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"spacex\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink","slug":"product-launch-spacex-starlink","questionCount":0,"questions":[],"mentions":31,"firstSeen":"2026-08-20","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-05","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-26","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"spacex\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-09-24T14:57:43.912252+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-24T14:57:43.912252+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00"}]}},"sectionOrder":["definition","primaryDocuments","claims","theRecord","ourAttention","marketSensor","refereeGrades","ourRead","changeLog","limits","verify","provenance"],"definition":{"key":"definition","heading":"What this record is","state":"written","whatThisIs":"The private launch and satellite company; operates Falcon rockets, Starship, and the Starlink network.","whyTracked":"We hold 397 documents from 108 outlets over 10 active days. It runs through 6 coverage domains we watch, including Arizona Aerospace & Defense, Cloud Computing, Intelligence Surveillance.","coverageSince":{"date":"2026-08-20","status":"observed","text":"Our first document on this subject is dated Aug 20, 2026; the count above is everything since."},"notCovered":["Our attention, not the world's state. Every count here is a count of what our own sweep collected about spacex.","108 outlets in our declared source universe — not the whole internet."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"passed":["a claim carried by three or more separate publishers"],"failed":["a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","at least one market question bound to this record"],"conditions":[{"id":"first-party-read","text":"a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","passed":false},{"id":"independent-origins","text":"a claim carried by three or more separate publishers","passed":true},{"id":"bound-market-question","text":"at least one market question bound to this record","passed":false}]},"stateNote":"Written definition, from the curated orientation glossary."},"claims":{"key":"claims","heading":"What independent sources agree on","state":"corroborated","source":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these rows","window":{"start":"2026-09-20","end":"2026-09-26"},"counts":{"clustersTotal":1046,"corroborated":1,"published":60,"clustersWithAggregatorOrigin":24,"clustersWithClaimUrl":60,"originsWithReceiptUrl":451,"originsPublished":454,"recordRows":7,"singleSource":6},"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"dropped":0,"note":"7 claims about this subject are on the maintained record for the window Sep 20, 2026 – Sep 26, 2026 — 1 carried by three or more separate publishers, 6 carried by one and labelled single-source. The count is of publishers, not of truth: many outlets echoing one official statement is a wide echo, not a second check.","singleSourceVisible":true,"rows":[{"id":"924efe562534","clusterKey":"924efe562534","claim":"Fire at Starlink station in central Poland was 'sabotage,' digital affairs minister says","claimUrl":"https://cryptobriefing.com/poland-suspects-hybrid-warfare-after-starlink-station-fire-amid-nato-tensions/","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":3,"origins":["cryptobriefing.com","euronews.com","en.tempo.co"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-24","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"3 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"aed978f61e35","clusterKey":"aed978f61e35","claim":"Elon Musk Predicts SpaceX Will Lead AI Race Over OpenAI and Anthropic Within Six Months","claimUrl":"https://cryptobriefing.com/spacex-ai-model-gpt-6-level-musk/","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":2,"origins":["cryptobriefing.com","tekedia.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-25","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"2 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"eb42ad003684","clusterKey":"eb42ad003684","claim":"A crater of our own making: what the SpaceX lunar impact reveals about the future of Moon governance","claimUrl":"https://www.thespacereview.com/article/5316/1","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":2,"origins":["the space review","thespacereview.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"2 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"2510130c471d","clusterKey":"2510130c471d","claim":"Exolaunch, Space Cargo book Starship Starfall missions","claimUrl":"https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/09/exolaunch-space-cargo-starship-starfall/","tier":"weak","tierLabel":"Single source","tierMeaning":"One publisher. 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Nothing separate has carried it.","independentOrigins":1,"origins":["payloadspace.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["document"],"originsSummary":"1 separate publisher","marketLine":null}]},"primaryDocuments":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[],"key":"primaryDocuments","heading":"What the issuing authorities publish","undatedCount":0,"undatedNote":null},"marketSensor":{"key":"marketSensor","heading":"What prediction markets price","state":"no-market-bound","joinPerformed":true,"eventSlug":"product-launch-spacex-starlink","counts":{"eventReceipts":0,"entityCaptures":0,"served":0,"live":0,"expired":0},"newestPriceStamp":null,"venueStatusNote":null,"note":"No market rows ride this record right now. We joined this record's event (\"product-launch-spacex-starlink\") against the venue receipts and against our own priced captures, and both came back empty — that is a count, not a gap.","rows":[],"basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred"},"refereeGrades":{"key":"refereeGrades","heading":"How our cited sensor has scored","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the per-subject accuracy check","grades":[],"note":"We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink has been scored, so this section can say nothing about it on its own. The scoring anyone can read is at https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data.","where":"https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data"},"theRecord":{"label":"The record itself","basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 10 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"],"state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":397,"outlets":108,"activeDays":10,"firstSeen":"2026-08-20","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-05","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-08-20","end":"2026-09-05","activeDays":10,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 10 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":832,"outlets":191,"activeDays":149,"since":"2026-03-03","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":["aerospace_defense"],"asserts":{"launch-release":223,"ipo-listing":33,"utterance":30,"acquisition":16,"funding-round":14,"military-action":13},"assertionCoverage":0.428,"movesWith":[{"name":"earth","together":209,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"falcon","together":206,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"nasa","together":191,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"starlink","together":170,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"space force","together":153,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"ai","together":224},{"name":"elon musk","together":164},{"name":"anthropic","together":108}],"movesWithLabels":["earth","falcon","nasa","starlink","space force","ai","elon musk","anthropic"],"provenance":"curated","key":"theRecord","heading":"What we have collected","status":"measured","basisNote":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting"},"ourAttention":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":-49,"reading":"Our coverage of Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink is 49% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":131,"eventMentions":31,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":31}],"key":"ourAttention","heading":"How closely we are watching","state":"measured","directionWord":"steady","glyph":"→"},"ourRead":{"key":"ourRead","heading":"Our read","basisNote":"our analysis of this record's own dated sections; ours, and labeled ours — never a forecast, and never a probability of ours","asOf":"2026-09-26","firstParty":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},"corroboratedNow":{"state":"measured","count":7,"text":"Independent sources agree on 7 things about Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink in the current window: “Fire at Starlink station in central Poland was 'sabotage,' digital affairs minister says” (3 separate publishers, earliest Sep 24, 2026); “Elon Musk Predicts SpaceX Will Lead AI Race Over OpenAI and Anthropic Within Six Months” (2 separate publishers, earliest Sep 25, 2026), and 5 more on the record."},"singleSource":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 3 recorded changes for Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink, the most recent on Sep 26, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},"divergence":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the market sensor","text":"We cannot show a divergence: no market question is bound to this record, so there is no outside sensor to set beside our claims."},"heldAsProvenance":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."},"inputsDropped":[{"input":"5 corroborated claim rows","why":"shown on the claims section rather than repeated in the read"},{"input":"single-source reporting","why":"no press-claims ledger exists for this subject; the corroborated feed does not publish uncleared tiers"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisNote":"No synthesis is written for this record. A synthesis is our own paragraph over corroborated claims with receipts; until it is computed, the clauses above are the whole read and nothing is templated to look like one.","basis":[{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Fire at Starlink station in central Poland was 'sabotage,' digital affairs minister says","asOf":"2026-09-24"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Elon Musk Predicts SpaceX Will Lead AI Race Over OpenAI and Anthropic Within Six Months","asOf":"2026-09-25"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"A crater of our own making: what the SpaceX lunar impact reveals about the future of Moon governance","asOf":"2026-09-21"}],"clauses":[{"key":"firstParty","label":"What the issuing authorities say","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"key":"corroboratedNow","label":"What independent sources agree on","state":"measured","count":7,"text":"Independent sources agree on 7 things about Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink in the current window: “Fire at Starlink station in central Poland was 'sabotage,' digital affairs minister says” (3 separate publishers, earliest Sep 24, 2026); “Elon Musk Predicts SpaceX Will Lead AI Race Over OpenAI and Anthropic Within Six Months” (2 separate publishers, earliest Sep 25, 2026), and 5 more on the record."},{"key":"singleSource","label":"What rests on one source","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"key":"contradicted","label":"What contradicts","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"key":"changedSinceLastRead","label":"What changed","state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 3 recorded changes for Product launch: SpaceX & Starlink, the most recent on Sep 26, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. 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