{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"product-launch-microsoft","title":"The Product launch: Microsoft record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/product-launch-microsoft and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/product-launch-microsoft so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Microsoft tosses Teams Live chat into its feature graveyard","url":"https://www.theregister.com/applications/2026/08/07/microsoft-tosses-teams-live-chat-into-its-feature-graveyard/5284634","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Attacker phished way into US defense supplier's Microsoft 365 account","url":"https://www.theregister.com/security/2026/08/07/ieh-corp-says-phished-staffer-opened-gates-to-company-m365/5284523","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Microsoft pushes safer software construction as AI makes offense cheap","url":"https://siliconangle.com/2026/08/06/safer-software-construction-counters-ai-driven-threats-blackhat/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":404,"outlets":95,"activeDays":46,"firstSeen":"2026-04-20","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["cloud_computing"],"asserts":null,"assertionCoverage":0.196,"movesWith":[{"label":"ai","n":318,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"russia","n":145,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"cms","n":139,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"nvidia","n":137,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"china","n":166,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"iran","n":143,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"amazon","n":66,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]},{"label":"deepseek","n":61,"sharedDomains":["cloud_computing"]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"fading","baselineRelativePct":-39,"reading":"Our coverage of Product launch: Microsoft is 39% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":84,"eventMentions":46,"periods":[{"period":"2026-12","mentions":23},{"period":"2026-09","mentions":23}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Product launch: Microsoft","slug":"product-launch-microsoft","questionCount":2,"questions":["Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?"],"mentions":46,"firstSeen":"2026-07-12","lastSeen":"2026-07-12"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-25T15:00:16.995106+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-01T15:07:49.675911+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-04T15:37:19.750066+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-01T15:07:49.675911+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-05T15:36:15.049741+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-04T15:37:19.750066+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-05T15:36:15.049741+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-07T15:06:56.050386+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-08T15:01:41.302777+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-07T15:06:56.050386+00:00"}]}}}