{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"price-threshold-oil","title":"The Price threshold: Oil record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/price-threshold-oil and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/price-threshold-oil so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Trump says oil companies made ‘too much money’","url":"https://financialpost.com/commodities/energy/trump-says-oil-companies-made-too-much-money","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Lessons from the Iran war: China’s oil buffer and energy resilience, tested","url":"https://www.mining-technology.com/news/lessons-from-the-iran-war-chinas-oil-buffer-and-energy-resilience-tested-2/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Oil Traders Stay Bearish Despite Deepening Middle East Disruptions","url":"https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Oil-Traders-Stay-Bearish-Despite-Deepening-Middle-East-Disruptions.html","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Saudi Arabia’s $5 Oil Detour Is Expensive—and Worth It","url":"https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Saudi-Arabias-5-Oil-Detour-Is-Expensiveand-Worth-It.html","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Iran Oil & Gas Brief — August 5, 2026","url":"https://old.reddit.com/r/energy/comments/1vglpz4/iran_oil_gas_brief_august_5_2026/","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":871,"outlets":139,"activeDays":59,"firstSeen":"2026-04-04","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["energy"],"asserts":{"utterance":68,"military-action":57,"econ-release":20,"meeting-visit":16,"sanction-trade":16,"launch-release":15},"assertionCoverage":0.294,"movesWith":[{"label":"hormuz","n":297,"sharedDomains":["energy"]},{"label":"iran","n":410,"sharedDomains":[],"verbs":{"meeting-visit":4,"ceasefire-deal":2}},{"label":"saudi arabia","n":176,"sharedDomains":["energy"]},{"label":"oman","n":124,"sharedDomains":["energy"]},{"label":"yemen","n":113,"sharedDomains":["energy"]},{"label":"middle east","n":218,"sharedDomains":[],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":2}},{"label":"trump","n":209,"sharedDomains":[],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":2}},{"label":"united states","n":133,"sharedDomains":[]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":-58,"reading":"Our coverage of Price threshold: Oil is 58% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":89,"eventMentions":94,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":94}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Price threshold: Oil","slug":"price-threshold-oil","questionCount":4,"questions":["Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?"],"mentions":94,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-06-25"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-27T15:37:45.852260+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-07-31T15:36:13.127750+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-01T15:07:49.675911+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-31T15:36:13.127750+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-04T15:37:19.750066+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-01T15:07:49.675911+00:00"}]}}}