{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"gaza-ceasefire","title":"The Gaza ceasefire record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/gaza-ceasefire and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/gaza-ceasefire so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Gaza: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the European Union","url":"https://old.reddit.com/r/europeanunion/comments/1vhyks6/gaza_statement_by_the_high_representative_on/","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Hamas has agreed to disarm. Israel should now agree to peace","url":"https://ecfr.eu/article/hamas-has-agreed-to-disarm-israel-should-now-agree-to-peace/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Saudi Arabia, Muslim countries condemn Israeli attacks on Gaza, warn they threaten ceasefire efforts - Arab News PK","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiXkFVX3lxTE40bDhhU05xNEFTTUN2b2lCUXIzMzJtSWJ0ZUFwVGRYVmx0YUtYaVdCSG44eEJqcWlYRzFrNDZwUzVNY1U5dHQwMjhITWpZSHVSZFBreFFlc1I5QnRIN0E?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Gaza beekeeper starts again on rooftop amid ruins of war","url":"https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/08/gaza-beekeeper-starts-again-rooftop-amid-ruins-war","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"‘Hamas Must Be Erased’: Israeli Ministers Demand Renewed Gaza Offensive - Palestine Chronicle","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxOSmRJZzNFWjlKc0RqcUt6Z05VLTlJYVZQeWIzZWRuZUdwcWk4VW8zMWVsSXBVSXV6cWEtaXBNQks5NEdzMjB4Y1JmV1BERjkwbktSOGRxUzRwekEtLVJQaXRTdkJsVWlZNW4xRGd3ck1jbm8yT254dEJfZU9mZXlRZXdGVDN4VnFKdEZCMmdtUmZfUWVlUmJ3NFFnT21oelBHcG1ObHZOOA?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":606,"outlets":32,"activeDays":12,"firstSeen":"2026-07-07","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["middle_east"],"asserts":{"ceasefire-deal":171,"military-action":124,"utterance":104,"meeting-visit":11,"election":9,"launch-release":6},"assertionCoverage":0.723,"movesWith":[{"label":"israel","n":458,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":108,"meeting-visit":2}},{"label":"trump","n":196,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":26}},{"label":"iran","n":93,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]},{"label":"middle east","n":73,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]},{"label":"netanyahu","n":59,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"],"verbs":{"ceasefire-deal":3}},{"label":"west bank","n":55,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]},{"label":"hormuz","n":49,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]},{"label":"saudi arabia","n":40,"sharedDomains":["middle_east"]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":14,"reading":"Our coverage of Gaza ceasefire is 14% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":85,"eventMentions":174,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":24},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":5},{"period":"2026","mentions":145}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[{"question":"Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":30,"change24hPct":null,"pricedAt":"2026-08-08","capturedAt":"2026-07-31","deadline":"2026-12-31","deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Gaza ceasefire","slug":"gaza-ceasefire","questionCount":6,"questions":["Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?","Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?"],"mentions":174,"firstSeen":"2026-03-29","lastSeen":"2026-08-02"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-26T15:01:06.614667+00:00"}]}}}