{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-taiwan","title":"The Election: Taiwan record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-taiwan and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-taiwan so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"AI pilots fly coordinated drone missions in Taiwan","url":"https://www.unmannedairspace.info/uncategorized/ai-pilots-fly-coordinated-drone-missions-in-taiwan/","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"South Korea, Taiwan top Japan in exports for first time on AI boom","url":"https://asia.nikkei.com/business/tech/semiconductors/south-korea-taiwan-top-japan-in-exports-for-first-time-on-ai-boom","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Taiwan manufacturer settles case over falsified customs entries for $5.2M","url":"https://www.freightwaves.com/news/taiwan-manufacturer-settles-case-over-falsified-customs-entries-for-5-2m","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":127,"outlets":58,"activeDays":40,"firstSeen":"2026-04-06","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":["geophysical"],"asserts":{"disaster":21,"acquisition":4,"utterance":4,"launch-release":3,"military-action":2,"sanction-trade":2},"assertionCoverage":0.331,"movesWith":[{"label":"earthquake","n":23,"sharedDomains":["geophysical"]},{"label":"china","n":40,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"japan","n":35,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"ai","n":29,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"south korea","n":22,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"semiconductor","n":21,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"iran","n":18,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"united states","n":16,"sharedDomains":[]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"fading","baselineRelativePct":-28,"reading":"Our coverage of Election: Taiwan is 28% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":78,"eventMentions":87,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":87}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Taiwan","slug":"election-taiwan","questionCount":3,"questions":["Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"],"mentions":87,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-06-25"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-25T15:00:16.995106+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-28T15:28:32.475746+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-29T16:14:44.489092+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-07-31T15:36:13.127750+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-02T15:08:36.484814+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-31T15:36:13.127750+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-02T15:08:36.484814+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-03T15:44:09.453412+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-07T15:06:56.050386+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-08-07T15:06:56.050386+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-06T15:33:39.246619+00:00"}]}}}