{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"economic-indicator-unemployment","title":"The Economic indicator: Unemployment record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-08","generatedAt":"2026-08-08T23:26:25.200604+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/economic-indicator-unemployment and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/economic-indicator-unemployment so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[{"title":"Jobless claims below 200,000 for 3 consecutive weeks.First such streak in 57 years.","url":"https://old.reddit.com/r/energy/comments/1viobd3/jobless_claims_below_200000_for_3_consecutive/","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"The 2026 Rate Path Just Got Rewritten by a Single Negative Jobs Report - StoneX","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqgFBVV95cUxNQXdPN2UteVR3eXJvQUpwSnd5dGUyNFoxdjRqM1BSZ0lKRy14bldSM3QyVHI2cG1OVFdzVmJ5QVlWU3ZoWFB2LVl6OVYyU0Q1Mk9GU1dZaHFmeDRvQ09kQzNRTUlKdG9Td1VqSGpHMHVReVlabnFFcHYzWHZOZkg5Snl3NGtJb2VqeldQOFFoSmsybjByLWhRM1ZYeVg0Q3dCVkhuTDIxUHNtQQ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"July 2026 Jobs Report: Unexpected Turbulence - Indeed Hiring Lab","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxOV0xFZ3Vmcm9jWmd2REY5NUNTTE1CRGVHY1JORGRYeDNkeF9aU3FweDlPaFRRVDhKZzUtRnZ5QU03TER3Ul9pcEtuSGhGRDhXR1IwN1VXbUtrZnlKNmlTRi01WUFjSDZNSE9QcFpOSlAxd1NYNnduQW13VEF2ZmJvZXFZcDIzcTVX?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Jobs Report Live Updates: U.S. Job Market Shows Unexpected Loss (Gift Article)","url":"https://old.reddit.com/r/Economics/comments/1vhzpy6/jobs_report_live_updates_us_job_market_shows/","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"S&P closes at record high as soft jobs report eases rate-hike concerns - Reuters","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxQQ1d0RTF2VldzYWZCaFg3YzBhd2pEamRMWWU1VWNQOGZBSnFDVXFfZDNlVVowQzFwSmVHUDdObmQ4d1VDQnpZZmlhNS1xLWJabGxUMlNPSHc0NGY2SFptZ2QzOTgxTEZQVkpFblM4ZzI4anFIUkV1amFOZlNrRDRXbTUySWl0c1VMdjdiMWJxVUtNa0RmQXB5V3l6Rnl3aTRJQi1zOW1zTFFaZ1A4YjgxSnp3?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":110,"outlets":52,"activeDays":23,"firstSeen":"2026-03-06","lastSeen":"2026-08-08","homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"econ-release":18,"military-action":3,"price-threshold":3,"rate-decision":3,"utterance":2,"launch-release":2},"assertionCoverage":0.309,"movesWith":[{"label":"ai","n":26,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"inflation","n":21,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"interest rates","n":19,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"federal reserve","n":18,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"iran","n":18,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"oil","n":15,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"housing","n":13,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"bitcoin","n":12,"sharedDomains":[]}],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":116,"reading":"Our coverage of Economic indicator: Unemployment is 116% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":48,"eventMentions":184,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":29},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":9},{"period":"2026","mentions":146}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Economic indicator: Unemployment","slug":"economic-indicator-unemployment","questionCount":15,"questions":["Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?","Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?","Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?"],"mentions":184,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-08-07"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-08","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"fading","at":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-24T15:18:02.133862+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-05T15:36:15.049741+00:00","heldSince":"2026-07-30T20:44:17.114289+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-08T15:01:41.302777+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-05T15:36:15.049741+00:00"}]}}}