{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"bitcoin-price-level","title":"The Bitcoin price levels record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"bitcoin","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"bitcoin\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Bitcoin price levels\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["bitcoin"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":null},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-26","currency":{"state":"current","asOf":"2026-09-25","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-26","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-25","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (event-graph)","ageDays":1,"expectedCadenceDays":14,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 9 active day(s) over a 125-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is current: the newest source item is from 2026-09-25, inside its expected cadence of about one item every 14 days."},"generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/bitcoin-price-level and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/bitcoin-price-level so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"bitcoin\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 6 attributable rows sampled for \"bitcoin\", 1 served, 5 withheld as not shown to be about \"Bitcoin price levels\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":6,"served":1,"withheldNotEventRelevant":5,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["levels","curated","above","time","high","below","hit","btc"],"questionSet":["150k","december","400","september","12am"]},"items":[{"title":"Bitcoin consolidates near $86,000 as rally narrows and Brent slips below $100","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/23/bitcoin-consolidates-near-usd86-000-as-rally-narrows-and-brent-slips-below-usd100","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["below"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":597,"outlets":129,"activeDays":9,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-25","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-05-24","end":"2026-09-25","activeDays":9,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 9 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":1080,"outlets":137,"activeDays":78,"since":"2026-04-05","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":["crypto_defi","auto"],"asserts":{"utterance":112,"price-threshold":52,"rate-decision":42,"launch-release":34,"acquisition":34,"military-action":20},"assertionCoverage":0.332,"movesWith":[{"name":"crypto","together":626,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":3}},{"name":"ethereum","together":299,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"clarity act","together":177,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"etfs","together":170,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"treasury","together":247,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"ai","together":246,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"senate","together":158,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"sec","together":146,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]}],"movesWithLabels":["crypto","ethereum","clarity act","etfs","treasury","ai","senate","sec"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":-36,"reading":"Our coverage of Bitcoin price levels is 36% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":138,"eventMentions":8200,"periods":[{"period":"2027-12","mentions":46},{"period":"2027-09","mentions":46},{"period":"2027-06","mentions":46},{"period":"2027-03","mentions":46},{"period":"2026-12","mentions":87},{"period":"2026-09","mentions":7929}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"observed","rowsNote":null,"current":[],"arc":[{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 20?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-september-20-2026","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":69,"change24hPct":61.7,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-09-19","deadline":"2026-09-20","deadlinePassed":true,"reading":"belief, not fact","status":"historical capture — deadline passed, kept as recorded; final resolution at the venue"}],"eventArc":{"name":"Bitcoin price levels","slug":"bitcoin-price-level","questionCount":22,"questions":["Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?","Bitcoin above 80,400 on September 1, 12AM ET?"],"mentions":8200,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-25","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-26","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"bitcoin\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Bitcoin price levels\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-09-24T14:57:43.912252+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-24T14:57:43.912252+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00"}]}},"sectionOrder":["definition","primaryDocuments","claims","theRecord","ourAttention","marketSensor","refereeGrades","ourRead","changeLog","limits","verify","provenance"],"definition":{"key":"definition","heading":"What this record is","state":"written","whatThisIs":"The largest cryptocurrency by market value; widely watched as a barometer of risk appetite in digital assets.","whyTracked":"We hold 597 documents from 129 outlets over 9 active days. It runs through 5 coverage domains we watch, including Crypto DEFI, Intelligence Surveillance, Macro Economics. 22 market questions price outcomes under the event bound to it.","coverageSince":{"date":"2026-05-24","status":"observed","text":"Our first document on this subject is dated May 24, 2026; the count above is everything since."},"notCovered":["Our attention, not the world's state. Every count here is a count of what our own sweep collected about bitcoin.","129 outlets in our declared source universe — not the whole internet.","Market prices are the venue's number, cited and graded as an outside sensor. We publish no probability of our own on this record."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"passed":["a claim carried by three or more separate publishers","at least one market question bound to this record"],"failed":["a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself"],"conditions":[{"id":"first-party-read","text":"a first-party issuer document read from the issuer itself","passed":false},{"id":"independent-origins","text":"a claim carried by three or more separate publishers","passed":true},{"id":"bound-market-question","text":"at least one market question bound to this record","passed":true}]},"stateNote":"Written definition, from the curated orientation glossary."},"claims":{"key":"claims","heading":"What independent sources agree on","state":"corroborated","source":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these rows","window":{"start":"2026-09-20","end":"2026-09-26"},"counts":{"clustersTotal":1046,"corroborated":10,"published":60,"clustersWithAggregatorOrigin":24,"clustersWithClaimUrl":60,"originsWithReceiptUrl":451,"originsPublished":454,"recordRows":12,"singleSource":2},"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"dropped":11,"note":"12 claims about this subject are on the maintained record for the window Sep 20, 2026 – Sep 26, 2026 — 10 carried by three or more separate publishers, 2 carried by one and labelled single-source. The count is of publishers, not of truth: many outlets echoing one official statement is a wide echo, not a second check.","singleSourceVisible":true,"rows":[{"id":"0aa57b200216","clusterKey":"0aa57b200216","claim":"LIVE: Crypto market retakes $3 trillion as Bitcoin rally eases after hitting 8-month high","claimUrl":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-retakes-83000-bear-market","tier":"strong","tierLabel":"Cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":6,"origins":["cointelegraph.com","cryptobriefing.com","cryptopolitan.com","financefeeds.com","tekedia.com","yellow.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"6 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"ceb8d42b895d","clusterKey":"ceb8d42b895d","claim":"CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap Futures as Binance Invests $100M in Circle","claimUrl":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/22/bitcoin-cash-jumps-22-after-cme-announces-bch-futures/","tier":"strong","tierLabel":"Cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":5,"origins":["cryptotimes.io","decrypt.co","financefeeds.com","startupfortune.com","tekedia.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"5 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"d7e13567d692","clusterKey":"d7e13567d692","claim":"Coinbase’s fixed-rate Bitcoin loans can put healthy collateral at risk after maturity","claimUrl":"https://crypto.news/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-usdc-loans-backed-by-cbbtc/","tier":"strong","tierLabel":"Cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":5,"origins":["coindesk.com","crypto.news","cryptoslate.com","decrypt.co","financefeeds.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"5 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"c94772875c22","clusterKey":"c94772875c22","claim":"Circle launches Bitcoin-backed USDC borrowing, leaving liquidation risk with Morpho protocol","claimUrl":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutional-clients?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","tier":"strong","tierLabel":"Cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":4,"origins":["bitcoinfoundation.org","cointelegraph.com","crypto.news","cryptoslate.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["document","entity"],"originsSummary":"4 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"0c81e564a418","clusterKey":"0c81e564a418","claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just absorbed 11,500 BTC in their biggest buying day in nearly two years","claimUrl":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/crypto-etf/bitcoin-etfs-just-had-their-worst-day-since-june-what-happened/","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":3,"origins":["bitcoinfoundation.org","cryptoslate.com","yellow.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"3 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"11a2a6ffd674","clusterKey":"11a2a6ffd674","claim":"Whitehats move 52 bitcoin from the Coldcard hack to a recovery trust","claimUrl":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":3,"origins":["coindesk.com","cointelegraph.com","decrypt.co"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["document","entity"],"originsSummary":"3 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"1231ce513ce5","clusterKey":"1231ce513ce5","claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just erased a $5.7 billion hole, but profit-taking is swallowing the new demand","claimUrl":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-erased-a-5-7-billion-hole-but-profit-taking-is-swallowing-the-new-demand/","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":3,"origins":["coindesk.com","cryptoslate.com","financefeeds.com"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-23","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"3 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"47affdf05b15","clusterKey":"47affdf05b15","claim":"Sequans exits Bitcoin treasury strategy after selling remaining 314 BTC","claimUrl":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-strategy-after-selling-remaining-314-btc?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":3,"origins":["cointelegraph.com","cryptobriefing.com","cryptotimes.io"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-24","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"3 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"7377b3d38e5e","clusterKey":"7377b3d38e5e","claim":"Bitcoin taps $85,000 for first time since January as crypto short liquidations surge","claimUrl":"https://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/Bitcoin-Tops-85000-For-First-Time-Since-Late-January.html","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":3,"origins":["oilprice.com","startupfortune.com","theblock.co"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"3 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"a5ec72ab5f11","clusterKey":"a5ec72ab5f11","claim":"Bitcoin could soon get Zcash-style 'shielded' privacy without changing its rules","claimUrl":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-researchers-target-privacy-coins-with-zcash-style-shielded-transfers/","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":3,"origins":["coindesk.com","cryptoslate.com","decrypt.co"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-25","state":"corroborated","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"3 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"21b2074e9275","clusterKey":"21b2074e9275","claim":"Strive Buys 1,355 Bitcoin for $107.7 Million, Treasury Hits 26,355 BTC","claimUrl":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/21/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-for-107-7-million-treasury-hits-26355-btc/","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":2,"origins":["coinlaw.io","cryptotimes.io"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["entity"],"originsSummary":"2 separate publishers","marketLine":null},{"id":"2f0e28adb5d7","clusterKey":"2f0e28adb5d7","claim":"Elon Musk's X brings bitcoin and stock trading closer to the timeline","claimUrl":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","tier":"moderate","tierLabel":"Some cross-source agreement","tierMeaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","independentOrigins":2,"origins":["coindesk.com","crypto.news"],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","state":"single-source","matchedOn":["document","entity"],"originsSummary":"2 separate publishers","marketLine":null}]},"primaryDocuments":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[],"key":"primaryDocuments","heading":"What the issuing authorities publish","undatedCount":0,"undatedNote":null},"marketSensor":{"key":"marketSensor","heading":"What prediction markets price","state":"priced","joinPerformed":true,"eventSlug":"bitcoin-price-level","counts":{"eventReceipts":2,"entityCaptures":1,"served":3,"live":1,"expired":2},"newestPriceStamp":"2026-09-26","venueStatusNote":null,"note":"3 market questions ride this record, newest price stamp Sep 26, 2026 — 1 still open by their own deadline, 2 past it and kept as recorded. A price is the venue's number, cited as one outside sensor and graded against how reality resolved; it is never a probability of ours.","rows":[{"question":"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-december-31-2027","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":37.5,"pricedAt":"2026-09-26","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2028-01-01","deadlinePassed":false,"venueStatus":"live","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Bitcoin above 80,400 on September 1, 12AM ET?","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/bitcoin-above-80400-on-september-1-2026-12am-et","source":"polymarket","probabilityPct":2.3,"pricedAt":"2026-09-01","capturedAt":null,"deadline":"2026-09-01","deadlinePassed":true,"venueStatus":"unknown","origin":"event-receipt","reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 20?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-september-20-2026","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":69,"change24hPct":61.7,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-09-19","deadline":"2026-09-20","deadlinePassed":true,"reading":"belief, not fact","venueStatus":null,"origin":"entity-capture"}],"basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred"},"refereeGrades":{"key":"refereeGrades","heading":"How our cited sensor has scored","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the per-subject accuracy check","grades":[],"note":"We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Bitcoin price levels has been scored, so this section can say nothing about it on its own. The scoring anyone can read is at https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data.","where":"https://sigb.ai/api/calibration-data"},"theRecord":{"label":"The record itself","basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 9 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"],"state":"measured","reason":"","countsSource":"sb.truth-record.v1 — the maintained record is the one producer of these counts","countsBasis":"event-graph","documents":597,"outlets":129,"activeDays":9,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-25","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"coverage":{"start":"2026-05-24","end":"2026-09-25","activeDays":9,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 9 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"archive":{"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation — every document this subject has ever appeared in, not the maintained record's window","documents":1080,"outlets":137,"activeDays":78,"since":"2026-04-05","sinceStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-22","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null},"homeDomains":["crypto_defi","auto"],"asserts":{"utterance":112,"price-threshold":52,"rate-decision":42,"launch-release":34,"acquisition":34,"military-action":20},"assertionCoverage":0.332,"movesWith":[{"name":"crypto","together":626,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":3}},{"name":"ethereum","together":299,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"clarity act","together":177,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"etfs","together":170,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"treasury","together":247,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"ai","together":246,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"senate","together":158,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]},{"name":"sec","together":146,"sharedDomains":["auto","crypto_defi"]}],"movesWithLabels":["crypto","ethereum","clarity act","etfs","treasury","ai","senate","sec"],"provenance":"curated","key":"theRecord","heading":"What we have collected","status":"measured","basisNote":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting"},"ourAttention":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":-36,"reading":"Our coverage of Bitcoin price levels is 36% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":138,"eventMentions":8200,"periods":[{"period":"2027-12","mentions":46},{"period":"2027-09","mentions":46},{"period":"2027-06","mentions":46},{"period":"2027-03","mentions":46},{"period":"2026-12","mentions":87},{"period":"2026-09","mentions":7929}],"key":"ourAttention","heading":"How closely we are watching","state":"measured","directionWord":"steady","glyph":"→"},"ourRead":{"key":"ourRead","heading":"Our read","basisNote":"our analysis of this record's own dated sections; ours, and labeled ours — never a forecast, and never a probability of ours","asOf":"2026-09-26","firstParty":{"state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},"corroboratedNow":{"state":"measured","count":12,"text":"Independent sources agree on 12 things about Bitcoin price levels in the current window: “LIVE: Crypto market retakes $3 trillion as Bitcoin rally eases after hitting 8-month high” (6 separate publishers, earliest Sep 21, 2026); “CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap Futures as Binance Invests $100M in Circle” (5 separate publishers, earliest Sep 22, 2026), and 10 more on the record."},"singleSource":{"state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 3 recorded changes for Bitcoin price levels, the most recent on Sep 26, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},"divergence":{"state":"measured","text":"Side by side, unreconciled: a venue prices “Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?” at 37.5% (polymarket, Sep 26, 2026), while our own record holds 12 claims carried by three or more separate publishers. The price is the venue's number and we publish it as one; we do not blend it into ours, and we hold no probability of our own on this record."},"heldAsProvenance":{"state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."},"inputsDropped":[{"input":"10 corroborated claim rows","why":"shown on the claims section rather than repeated in the read"},{"input":"single-source reporting","why":"no press-claims ledger exists for this subject; the corroborated feed does not publish uncleared tiers"},{"input":"2 market questions past their deadline","why":"kept as historical capture, never presented as current expectation"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisNote":"No synthesis is written for this record. A synthesis is our own paragraph over corroborated claims with receipts; until it is computed, the clauses above are the whole read and nothing is templated to look like one.","basis":[{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"LIVE: Crypto market retakes $3 trillion as Bitcoin rally eases after hitting 8-month high","asOf":"2026-09-21"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap Futures as Binance Invests $100M in Circle","asOf":"2026-09-22"},{"kind":"corroborated claim","text":"Coinbase’s fixed-rate Bitcoin loans can put healthy collateral at risk after maturity","asOf":"2026-09-22"},{"kind":"market sensor","text":"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? — 37.5% (polymarket)","asOf":"2026-09-26"}],"clauses":[{"key":"firstParty","label":"What the issuing authorities say","state":"cannot-measure","pass":"the first-party read","text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"key":"corroboratedNow","label":"What independent sources agree on","state":"measured","count":12,"text":"Independent sources agree on 12 things about Bitcoin price levels in the current window: “LIVE: Crypto market retakes $3 trillion as Bitcoin rally eases after hitting 8-month high” (6 separate publishers, earliest Sep 21, 2026); “CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap Futures as Binance Invests $100M in Circle” (5 separate publishers, earliest Sep 22, 2026), and 10 more on the record."},{"key":"singleSource","label":"What rests on one source","state":"cannot-measure","count":null,"pass":"the single-source tier","text":"We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"key":"contradicted","label":"What contradicts","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"pass":"no polarity-comparable pair","examined":0,"text":"We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"key":"changedSinceLastRead","label":"What changed","state":"measured","text":"The ledger holds 3 recorded changes for Bitcoin price levels, the most recent on Sep 26, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact. We do not yet diff against a previously published copy of this record; what stands is the ledger's own dated transitions."},{"key":"divergence","label":"The outside sensor, beside our record","state":"measured","text":"Side by side, unreconciled: a venue prices “Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?” at 37.5% (polymarket, Sep 26, 2026), while our own record holds 12 claims carried by three or more separate publishers. The price is the venue's number and we publish it as one; we do not blend it into ours, and we hold no probability of our own on this record."},{"key":"heldAsProvenance","label":"Held as provenance","state":"cannot-measure","rows":[],"text":"No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"states":{"firstParty":"cannot-measure","corroboratedNow":"measured","singleSource":"cannot-measure","contradicted":"cannot-measure","changedSinceLastRead":"measured","divergence":"measured","heldAsProvenance":"cannot-measure"}},"changeLog":{"key":"changeLog","heading":"What changed, and when","state":"recorded","started":null,"note":"The ledger holds 3 recorded changes for Bitcoin price levels, the most recent on Sep 26, 2026 — each one a change in how closely we are watching, written the moment we observed it, never backfilled and never edited after the fact.","transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-09-24T14:57:43.912252+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-11T14:52:54.715089+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-24T14:57:43.912252+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-09-26T14:52:38.279544+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-25T14:57:07.225130+00:00"}]},"verify":{"key":"verify","heading":"Verify it yourself","state":"measured","rest":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/truth/bitcoin-price-level","mcp":"curl -s https://sigb.ai/api/mcp -X POST -H 'content-type: application/json' \\\n  -d '{\"jsonrpc\":\"2.0\",\"id\":1,\"method\":\"tools/call\",\"params\":{\"name\":\"get_truth_object\",\"arguments\":{\"topic\":\"bitcoin-price-level\"}}}'","resource":null,"page":null,"note":"This page, GET /api/truth/bitcoin-price-level and the get_truth_object tool are assembled by one builder, so what you fetch is what you are reading."},"limits":{"key":"limits","heading":"What this record does not tell you","state":"measured","derived":[{"section":"refereeGrades","text":"How our cited sensor has scored: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the per-subject accuracy check. We publish no probability of our own, so there is none of ours to score. What gets scored is the prediction-market prices we cite: each is checked against how that question actually resolved, and the checking runs across every subject at once rather than one subject at a time. Nothing specific to Bitcoin price levels h"},{"section":"ourRead.firstParty","text":"What the issuing authorities say: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the first-party read. No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so this record carries no document from an issuing authority. That is unmeasured, not a clean bill."},{"section":"ourRead.singleSource","text":"What rests on one source: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is the single-source tier. We cannot count single-source reporting on this subject: no press-claims ledger has been computed for it, and the corroborated feed publishes only the tiers that cleared the bar (strong, moderate), so its silence measures the feed, not the reporting."},{"section":"ourRead.contradicted","text":"What contradicts: we could not measure it — the pass that failed is no polarity-comparable pair. We could not measure contradiction: this record holds no pair of claims about the same proposition, so there is nothing a polarity test could run on. That is a blank we did not look in, never a clean bill."},{"section":"ourRead.heldAsProvenance","text":"Held as provenance: we could not measure it. No first-party issuer is routed for this subject, so there is nothing to hold as provenance."}],"standing":[],"note":"5 sections on this record came back \"we could not look\". Each is named below with the pass that failed, generated from the section's own state rather than typed here."},"provenance":{"key":"provenance","heading":"Where this record comes from","state":"measured","asOf":"2026-09-26","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","recordVersion":"sb.tr-386afd81","releaseId":null,"builtAt":null,"releaseState":"cannot-measure","releaseNote":"the release manifest is a deploy-time asset (/release.json), stamped on the served response, never bundled into the record at build time","slaRow":null,"slaNote":"No freshness clock is registered for this record's own inputs yet; the sections above each carry the date they speak for."},"record":{"schema":"sb.truth-record.v1","slug":"bitcoin-price-level","kind":"event","subjectState":"active","tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim","no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"tierChangedAt":"2026-09-07","previousTier":"standard","subject":{"label":"Bitcoin price levels","aliases":["bitcoin","bitcoin above","bitcoin all-time high","bitcoin below","bitcoin hit","bitcoin price","bitcoin price levels","bitcoin-price-level","btc above","btc below"],"eventKey":"bitcoin-price-level","entityKeys":["bitcoin","bitcoin price levels","bitcoin-price-level"],"mergedSlugs":[],"eventSlugs":["bitcoin-price-level"]},"definition":{"whatThisIs":"Bitcoin price levels is an event Signal Bureau maintains a record of (curated event). The record joins 597 document(s) from 129 outlet(s) in the corpus.","whyTracked":"Registered in the publication registry, which is deny-by-default: a subject is served only once it is registered.","coverageSince":"2026-05-24","coverageSinceBasis":"first counted document (event-graph)","coverageSinceState":"measured","coverageSinceReason":null,"coverageSinceAlternates":[{"date":"2026-07-16","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"notCovered":["No probability of ours: this record reports what sources and markets say, and grades them. It does not forecast.","No primary-source layer is registered for this subject, so no first-party document is read for it."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim","no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":[{"clusterKey":"0aa57b200216","claim":"LIVE: Crypto market retakes $3 trillion as Bitcoin rally eases after hitting 8-month high","claimUrl":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-retakes-83000-bear-market","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":6,"independentCount":6,"independenceBasis":"6 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptopolitan.com","wire":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","wire":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","wire":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/markets/crypto-market-cap-3-trillion-bitcoin-altcoins-rally?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","url":"https://cryptobriefing.com/crypto-market-cap-reclaims-3-trillion/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptopolitan.com","url":"https://www.cryptopolitan.com/live-crypto-market-retakes-3-trillion-as-bitcoin-rally-eases-after-hitting-8-month-high/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/bitcoin-price-87k-altcoin-season/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","url":"https://www.tekedia.com/crypto-market-cap-briefly-surpasses-3-trillion-as-bitcoin-and-altcoins-rally/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","url":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-retakes-83000-bear-market","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/markets/crypto-market-cap-3-trillion-bitcoin-altcoins-rally?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","url":"https://cryptobriefing.com/crypto-market-cap-reclaims-3-trillion/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptopolitan.com","url":"https://www.cryptopolitan.com/live-crypto-market-retakes-3-trillion-as-bitcoin-rally-eases-after-hitting-8-month-high/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/bitcoin-price-87k-altcoin-season/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","url":"https://www.tekedia.com/crypto-market-cap-briefly-surpasses-3-trillion-as-bitcoin-and-altcoins-rally/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","url":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-retakes-83000-bear-market","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":6,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"ceb8d42b895d","claim":"CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap Futures as Binance Invests $100M in Circle","claimUrl":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/22/bitcoin-cash-jumps-22-after-cme-announces-bch-futures/","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":5,"independentCount":5,"independenceBasis":"5 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","wire":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","wire":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","wire":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","wire":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","receipts":[{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/22/bitcoin-cash-jumps-22-after-cme-announces-bch-futures/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379004/cme-crypto-bitcoin-cash-uniswap-futures","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/cme-group-to-launch-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-on-oct-19/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","url":"https://startupfortune.com/cme-groups-plan-for-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-sent-bch-up-30/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","url":"https://www.tekedia.com/cme-group-to-launch-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-as-binance-invests-100m-in-circle/","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/22/bitcoin-cash-jumps-22-after-cme-announces-bch-futures/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379004/cme-crypto-bitcoin-cash-uniswap-futures","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/cme-group-to-launch-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-on-oct-19/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","url":"https://startupfortune.com/cme-groups-plan-for-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-sent-bch-up-30/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","url":"https://www.tekedia.com/cme-group-to-launch-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-as-binance-invests-100m-in-circle/","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":5,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"d7e13567d692","claim":"Coinbase’s fixed-rate Bitcoin loans can put healthy collateral at risk after maturity","claimUrl":"https://crypto.news/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-usdc-loans-backed-by-cbbtc/","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":5,"independentCount":5,"independenceBasis":"5 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","wire":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/23/coinbase-users-can-now-borrow-usdc-against-bitcoin-at-a-fixed-rate","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-usdc-loans-backed-by-cbbtc/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/coinbases-fixed-rate-bitcoin-loans-can-put-healthy-collateral-at-risk-after-maturity/","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379091/borrow-against-bitcoin-fixed-rate-coinbase-morpho","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-bitcoin-backed-loans-through-morpho-midnight/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/23/coinbase-users-can-now-borrow-usdc-against-bitcoin-at-a-fixed-rate","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-usdc-loans-backed-by-cbbtc/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/coinbases-fixed-rate-bitcoin-loans-can-put-healthy-collateral-at-risk-after-maturity/","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379091/borrow-against-bitcoin-fixed-rate-coinbase-morpho","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-bitcoin-backed-loans-through-morpho-midnight/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":5,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"c94772875c22","claim":"Circle launches Bitcoin-backed USDC borrowing, leaving liquidation risk with Morpho protocol","claimUrl":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutional-clients?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":4,"independentCount":4,"independenceBasis":"4 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","wire":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","wire":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","url":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/stablecoins/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutions-on-arc-and-ethereum/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutional-clients?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/circle-now-lets-institutions-borrow-usdc-against-bitcoin-but-morpho-still-sets-the-rules/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","url":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/stablecoins/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutions-on-arc-and-ethereum/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutional-clients?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/circle-now-lets-institutions-borrow-usdc-against-bitcoin-but-morpho-still-sets-the-rules/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":4,"subjectDocuments":[{"t":"Circle launches Bitcoin-backed USDC borrowing","src":"crypto.news","u":"https://crypto.news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing/","pd":"2026-09-22"},{"t":"Circle Launches Bitcoin-Backed USDC Borrowing for Institutions on Arc and Ethereum","src":"Bitcoin Foundation","u":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/stablecoins/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutions-on-arc-and-ethereum/","pd":"2026-09-22"}],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["document","entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"0c81e564a418","claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just absorbed 11,500 BTC in their biggest buying day in nearly two years","claimUrl":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/crypto-etf/bitcoin-etfs-just-had-their-worst-day-since-june-what-happened/","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","url":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/crypto-etf/bitcoin-etfs-just-had-their-worst-day-since-june-what-happened/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-absorbed-11500-btc-in-their-biggest-buying-day-in-nearly-two-years/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","url":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-999m-biggest-buying-day","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","url":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/crypto-etf/bitcoin-etfs-just-had-their-worst-day-since-june-what-happened/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-absorbed-11500-btc-in-their-biggest-buying-day-in-nearly-two-years/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","url":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-999m-biggest-buying-day","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"11a2a6ffd674","claim":"Whitehats move 52 bitcoin from the Coldcard hack to a recovery trust","claimUrl":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","wire":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/white-hats-coldcard-btc-exploit-galaxy?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/378978/white-hat-hackers-coldcard-exploit-bitcoin-recovery-trust","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/white-hats-coldcard-btc-exploit-galaxy?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/378978/white-hat-hackers-coldcard-exploit-bitcoin-recovery-trust","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[{"t":"Whitehats move 52 bitcoin from the Coldcard hack to a recovery trust","src":"CoinDesk — All News","u":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","pd":"2026-09-22"}],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["document","entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"1231ce513ce5","claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just erased a $5.7 billion hole, but profit-taking is swallowing the new demand","claimUrl":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-erased-a-5-7-billion-hole-but-profit-taking-is-swallowing-the-new-demand/","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-23","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/25/bitcoin-etfs-have-erased-a-usd5-8-billion-hole","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-erased-a-5-7-billion-hole-but-profit-taking-is-swallowing-the-new-demand/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/bitcoin-etfs-pile-up-2-8-billion-in-a-six-day/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/25/bitcoin-etfs-have-erased-a-usd5-8-billion-hole","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-erased-a-5-7-billion-hole-but-profit-taking-is-swallowing-the-new-demand/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/bitcoin-etfs-pile-up-2-8-billion-in-a-six-day/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"47affdf05b15","claim":"Sequans exits Bitcoin treasury strategy after selling remaining 314 BTC","claimUrl":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-strategy-after-selling-remaining-314-btc?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-24","receipts":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-strategy-after-selling-remaining-314-btc?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","url":"https://cryptobriefing.com/sequans-communications-exits-bitcoin-treasury/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/25/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-15-months-after-setting-100000-btc-goal/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-strategy-after-selling-remaining-314-btc?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","url":"https://cryptobriefing.com/sequans-communications-exits-bitcoin-treasury/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/25/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-15-months-after-setting-100000-btc-goal/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"7377b3d38e5e","claim":"Bitcoin taps $85,000 for first time since January as crypto short liquidations surge","claimUrl":"https://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/Bitcoin-Tops-85000-For-First-Time-Since-Late-January.html","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"oilprice.com","wire":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","wire":false},{"origin":"theblock.co","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"oilprice.com","url":"https://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/Bitcoin-Tops-85000-For-First-Time-Since-Late-January.html","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","url":"https://startupfortune.com/bitcoin-tops-85000-for-the-first-time-since-january-in-a-short-squeeze/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"theblock.co","url":"https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-09-21-bitcoin-taps-85000-for-first-time-since-january-as-crypto-short-liquidations-surge-415905","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"oilprice.com","url":"https://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/Bitcoin-Tops-85000-For-First-Time-Since-Late-January.html","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","url":"https://startupfortune.com/bitcoin-tops-85000-for-the-first-time-since-january-in-a-short-squeeze/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"theblock.co","url":"https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-09-21-bitcoin-taps-85000-for-first-time-since-january-as-crypto-short-liquidations-surge-415905","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"a5ec72ab5f11","claim":"Bitcoin could soon get Zcash-style 'shielded' privacy without changing its rules","claimUrl":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-researchers-target-privacy-coins-with-zcash-style-shielded-transfers/","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-25","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/09/25/bitcoin-could-soon-get-zcash-style-shielded-privacy-without-changing-its-rules","publishedAt":"2026-09-26","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-researchers-target-privacy-coins-with-zcash-style-shielded-transfers/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379280/researchers-publish-zcash-style-design-for-private-bitcoin-transfers","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/09/25/bitcoin-could-soon-get-zcash-style-shielded-privacy-without-changing-its-rules","publishedAt":"2026-09-26","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-researchers-target-privacy-coins-with-zcash-style-shielded-transfers/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379280/researchers-publish-zcash-style-design-for-private-bitcoin-transfers","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"21b2074e9275","claim":"Strive Buys 1,355 Bitcoin for $107.7 Million, Treasury Hits 26,355 BTC","claimUrl":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/21/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-for-107-7-million-treasury-hits-26355-btc/","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":2,"independentCount":2,"independenceBasis":"2 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coinlaw.io","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"coinlaw.io","url":"https://coinlaw.io/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-26000-btc-treasury/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/21/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-for-107-7-million-treasury-hits-26355-btc/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coinlaw.io","url":"https://coinlaw.io/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-26000-btc-treasury/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/21/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-for-107-7-million-treasury-hits-26355-btc/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":2,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"single-source"},{"clusterKey":"2f0e28adb5d7","claim":"Elon Musk's X brings bitcoin and stock trading closer to the timeline","claimUrl":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":2,"independentCount":2,"independenceBasis":"2 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/x-adds-bitcoin-trading-links-for-u-s-users/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/x-adds-bitcoin-trading-links-for-u-s-users/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":2,"subjectDocuments":[{"t":"Elon Musk’s X adds Bitcoin trading links for U.S. users","src":"crypto.news","u":"https://crypto.news/x-adds-bitcoin-trading-links-for-u-s-users/","pd":"2026-09-22"},{"t":"Elon Musk's X brings bitcoin and stock trading closer to the timeline","src":"CoinDesk — All News","u":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","pd":"2026-09-22"}],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["document","entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"single-source"}],"primaryDocuments":[],"marketSensor":{"state":"priced","reason":"","questions":[{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-september-27-2026","pricePct":61.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-26","seenBasis":"the entity's priced capture carries no per-row timestamp; this is the corpus-evidence shard's own build date","endDate":null,"venueStatus":"confirming","boundVia":"entity:bitcoin"},{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-september-29-2026","pricePct":16.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-26","seenBasis":"the entity's priced capture carries no per-row timestamp; this is the corpus-evidence shard's own build date","endDate":null,"venueStatus":"confirming","boundVia":"entity:bitcoin"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","pricePct":50.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-26","seenBasis":"the entity's priced capture carries no per-row timestamp; this is the corpus-evidence shard's own build date","endDate":null,"venueStatus":"confirming","boundVia":"entity:bitcoin"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-december-31-2027","pricePct":37.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-26","endDate":"2028-01-01","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:bitcoin-price-level"},{"question":"Bitcoin above 80,400 on September 1, 12AM ET?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/bitcoin-above-80400-on-september-1-2026-12am-et","pricePct":2.3,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-01","endDate":"2026-09-01","venueStatus":"unknown","boundVia":"event:bitcoin-price-level","numberMismatch":{"question":[1,12,80,400],"url":[1,12,2026,80400],"missingFromUrl":[80,400]},"numberMismatchNote":"the venue's current question text and its URL slug disagree on a number; the URL is the contract as minted, the text is the venue's present wording — verify the threshold at the venue before relying on either"}],"venue":"polymarket","priceAsOf":"2026-09-26","dropped":0,"note":"prices are a sensor we cite and grade, never a probability of ours (docs/decisions/20260817 Not a Forecasting Shop)"},"refereeGrades":[{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-07-04","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-06-11","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-05-10","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-05-08","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-05-07","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"}],"theRecord":{"state":"measured","reason":"","documents":597,"outlets":129,"activeDays":9,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-09-25","assertionMix":{"utterance":96,"price-threshold":36,"rate-decision":31,"acquisition":23,"military-action":13,"launch-release":12},"countsBasis":"event-graph","receiptsOnRecord":21,"withheldFutureDated":0,"droppedInputs":0,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 9 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"ourAttention":{"state":"cannot-measure","level":null,"direction":"unknown","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"},"ourRead":{"state":"measured","reason":"","corroboratedNow":[{"claim":"LIVE: Crypto market retakes $3 trillion as Bitcoin rally eases after hitting 8-month high","clusterKey":"0aa57b200216","tier":"Cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":6,"independentCount":6,"earliestDate":"2026-09-21"},{"claim":"CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap Futures as Binance Invests $100M in Circle","clusterKey":"ceb8d42b895d","tier":"Cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":5,"independentCount":5,"earliestDate":"2026-09-22"},{"claim":"Coinbase’s fixed-rate Bitcoin loans can put healthy collateral at risk after maturity","clusterKey":"d7e13567d692","tier":"Cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":5,"independentCount":5,"earliestDate":"2026-09-22"},{"claim":"Circle launches Bitcoin-backed USDC borrowing, leaving liquidation risk with Morpho protocol","clusterKey":"c94772875c22","tier":"Cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":4,"independentCount":4,"earliestDate":"2026-09-21"},{"claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just absorbed 11,500 BTC in their biggest buying day in nearly two years","clusterKey":"0c81e564a418","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"earliestDate":"2026-09-21"},{"claim":"Whitehats move 52 bitcoin from the Coldcard hack to a recovery trust","clusterKey":"11a2a6ffd674","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"earliestDate":"2026-09-22"},{"claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just erased a $5.7 billion hole, but profit-taking is swallowing the new demand","clusterKey":"1231ce513ce5","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"earliestDate":"2026-09-23"},{"claim":"Sequans exits Bitcoin treasury strategy after selling remaining 314 BTC","clusterKey":"47affdf05b15","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"earliestDate":"2026-09-24"}],"corroboratedCount":10,"singleSource":[{"claim":"Strive Buys 1,355 Bitcoin for $107.7 Million, Treasury Hits 26,355 BTC","clusterKey":"21b2074e9275","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":2,"independentCount":2,"earliestDate":"2026-09-21"},{"claim":"Elon Musk's X brings bitcoin and stock trading closer to the timeline","clusterKey":"2f0e28adb5d7","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":2,"independentCount":2,"earliestDate":"2026-09-22"}],"singleSourceCount":2,"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","items":[],"reason":"no polarity-comparable pair — no two claims on this record share a typed actor and action class over the same proposition, so no contradiction can be judged"},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","reason":"","added":[],"removed":[],"tierMoves":[],"against":"2026-09-26"},"divergence":{"state":"measured","reason":"","sensor":{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?","pricePct":61.5,"venue":"polymarket","seenAt":"2026-09-26"},"corroboratedClaims":10,"text":"The crowd prices “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?” at 61.5% on polymarket (seen 2026-09-26), beside 10 independently corroborated claim(s) on this record. The price is a sensor we cite and grade, not a probability of ours."},"heldAsProvenance":[],"inputsDropped":[{"reason":"11 further joined cluster(s) beyond the 12-claim cap"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisState":"withheld-by-design — synthesis runs only at full tier behind the coherence and no-advice gates, which this builder does not run","basis":[{"artifact":"cross_domain/analysis/whats_true_latest.json","used":"claims, tiers, independent origins","state":"read"},{"artifact":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_market_receipts.json","used":"market sensor (event side)","state":"priced"},{"artifact":"web/signal-bureau/lib/corpus_evidence.json","used":"receipts and priced captures (entity side)","state":"read"}]},"sectionStates":{"definition":{"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":{"state":"measured","reason":""},"primaryDocuments":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},"marketSensor":{"state":"priced","reason":""},"refereeGrades":{"state":"graded","reason":""},"theRecord":{"state":"measured","reason":""},"ourAttention":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"},"ourRead":{"state":"measured","reason":""}},"currency":{"state":"current","asOf":"2026-09-25","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-26","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-25","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (event-graph)","ageDays":1,"expectedCadenceDays":14,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 9 active day(s) over a 125-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is current: the newest source item is from 2026-09-25, inside its expected cadence of about one item every 14 days."},"scope":{"state":"measured","reason":null,"countsBasis":"event-graph","countsWindow":{"from":"2026-05-24","to":"2026-09-25","activeDays":9,"documents":597,"outlets":129},"claimsWindow":{"from":"2026-09-20","to":"2026-09-26"},"coverageStart":{"state":"measured","date":"2026-05-24","basis":"first counted document (event-graph)","alternates":[{"date":"2026-07-16","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"reason":null},"retiredAt":null,"receipts":{"withReceipt":12,"total":12,"cannotMeasure":0},"claimTiers":[{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","rank":0,"count":4},{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","rank":1,"count":8}],"claimsShown":12,"claimsDropped":11,"claimsAtPublishedTiers":12,"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"note":"This record's counts are the event-graph for this subject — 597 document(s) over 9 active day(s) from 2026-05-24 to 2026-09-25; its 12 claim(s) come from the corroboration run covering 2026-09-20 to 2026-09-26 and include every agreement tier (12 of them at the published tiers strong, moderate), so a cumulative archive total published on another surface counts a different set over a different window and is not expected to match this one. Coverage of this subject begins 2026-05-24 — first counted document (event-graph); other structures date it 2026-07-16 (registered in the publication registry)."},"limits":[{"section":"primaryDocuments","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},{"section":"ourAttention","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"}],"verify":{"rest":"GET /api/truth/bitcoin-price-level","mcp":"get_truth_record {\"slug\": \"bitcoin-price-level\"}"},"claimsMeta":{"state":"measured","reason":"","dropped":11},"primaryDocumentsMeta":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},"refereeGradesMeta":{"state":"graded","reason":"","counts":{"published":267,"graded":44,"outcomes":{"correct":27,"incorrect":17}}},"changeLog":[{"at":"2026-09-26","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-26","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-26","what":"claims changed: +3 −3, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-25","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-25","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-25","what":"claims changed: +3 −3, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-24","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-24","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-24","what":"claims changed: +6 −6, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"claims changed: +6 −6, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-22","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-22","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-22","what":"claims changed: +8 −6, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-21","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-21","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-21","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-20","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-20","what":"claims changed: +0 −1, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-20","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-20","what":"claims changed: +5 −7, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-19","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-19","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-19","what":"claims changed: +7 −7, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-18","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-18","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-18","what":"claims changed: +7 −7, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-17","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-17","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-17","what":"claims changed: +6 −6, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-16","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-16","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-16","what":"claims changed: +4 −4, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-15","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-15","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-15","what":"claims changed: +5 −5, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-14","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-14","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-14","what":"claims changed: +4 −4, 0 tier move(s)"}],"provenance":{"generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:27:20.561796+00:00","asOf":"2026-09-26","windowStart":"2026-09-20","windowEnd":"2026-09-26","inputs":[{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/publication_state.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","sha":"6dbd177aef85e618"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/signal_bureau_snapshot.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","sha":"ea2a70b2c8e6a73d"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/corpus_evidence.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T20:45:06.917695+00:00","sha":"564b48bec13092ca"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_graph.json","generatedAt":null,"sha":"5721b3b6f3de4da0"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_market_receipts.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26","sha":"eb6cc8a0b05de3e4"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/entity_trends.json","generatedAt":null,"sha":"7c111da898e1d641"},{"path":"cross_domain/analysis/whats_true_latest.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T08:05:06.476473Z","sha":null},{"path":"registry/truth_sources.yaml","generatedAt":null,"sha":"3439a8cab13733c0"},{"path":"cross_domain/predictions","generatedAt":null,"sha":"806f562ba9c33f63"}],"recordVersion":"4d3c39c4838f9ead"}},"scope":{"oneRecord":"lib/truth_records/bitcoin-price-level.json (sb.truth-record.v1) is the ONE producer of this subject's document count, outlet count, coverage window and claim rows. `record` is that file, verbatim. `exhibit` is the sb.truth.v1 view over it — the same numbers under the same names, plus the layers only the exhibit carries (first-party documents, press, our attention measurement, market belief).","sharedValues":["documents","outlets","activeDays","firstSeen","lastSeen","coverage.start","coverage.end","claims — row count, and each row's id, tier and claimUrl"],"differentByName":[{"key":"exhibit.layers.record.archive","measures":["documents","outlets","activeDays","since"],"scope":"cumulative entity graph since first observation","why":"a wider window than the maintained record's, so it is a DIFFERENT measure and never shares a key with it. Compare it to the record's counts and you are comparing two questions."}],"parityGate":"web/signal-bureau/scripts/check_truth_record_door.mjs §7 — a key carried by both under one name with two values fails the build."},"restPath":"/api/truth/bitcoin-price-level","mcpTool":"get_truth_record","recordState":"served","maintainedRecord":{"schema":"sb.truth-record.v1","slug":"bitcoin-price-level","kind":"event","subjectState":"active","tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim","no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"tierChangedAt":"2026-09-07","previousTier":"standard","subject":{"label":"Bitcoin price levels","aliases":["bitcoin","bitcoin above","bitcoin all-time high","bitcoin below","bitcoin hit","bitcoin price","bitcoin price levels","bitcoin-price-level","btc above","btc below"],"eventKey":"bitcoin-price-level","entityKeys":["bitcoin","bitcoin price levels","bitcoin-price-level"],"mergedSlugs":[],"eventSlugs":["bitcoin-price-level"]},"definition":{"whatThisIs":"Bitcoin price levels is an event Signal Bureau maintains a record of (curated event). The record joins 597 document(s) from 129 outlet(s) in the corpus.","whyTracked":"Registered in the publication registry, which is deny-by-default: a subject is served only once it is registered.","coverageSince":"2026-05-24","coverageSinceBasis":"first counted document (event-graph)","coverageSinceState":"measured","coverageSinceReason":null,"coverageSinceAlternates":[{"date":"2026-07-16","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"notCovered":["No probability of ours: this record reports what sources and markets say, and grades them. It does not forecast.","No primary-source layer is registered for this subject, so no first-party document is read for it."],"tier":"standard","tierBasis":{"computed":"standard","served":"standard","passed":["at least 3 independent publishers on a joined claim","no unresolved contradiction on the record","at least one corroborated cluster or a bound market question"],"failed":["a registered primary-source row with a real last read"],"step":"one step or none — served as computed"},"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":[{"clusterKey":"0aa57b200216","claim":"LIVE: Crypto market retakes $3 trillion as Bitcoin rally eases after hitting 8-month high","claimUrl":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-retakes-83000-bear-market","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":6,"independentCount":6,"independenceBasis":"6 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptopolitan.com","wire":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","wire":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","wire":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/markets/crypto-market-cap-3-trillion-bitcoin-altcoins-rally?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","url":"https://cryptobriefing.com/crypto-market-cap-reclaims-3-trillion/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptopolitan.com","url":"https://www.cryptopolitan.com/live-crypto-market-retakes-3-trillion-as-bitcoin-rally-eases-after-hitting-8-month-high/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/bitcoin-price-87k-altcoin-season/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","url":"https://www.tekedia.com/crypto-market-cap-briefly-surpasses-3-trillion-as-bitcoin-and-altcoins-rally/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","url":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-retakes-83000-bear-market","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/markets/crypto-market-cap-3-trillion-bitcoin-altcoins-rally?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","url":"https://cryptobriefing.com/crypto-market-cap-reclaims-3-trillion/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptopolitan.com","url":"https://www.cryptopolitan.com/live-crypto-market-retakes-3-trillion-as-bitcoin-rally-eases-after-hitting-8-month-high/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/bitcoin-price-87k-altcoin-season/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","url":"https://www.tekedia.com/crypto-market-cap-briefly-surpasses-3-trillion-as-bitcoin-and-altcoins-rally/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","url":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-retakes-83000-bear-market","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":6,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"ceb8d42b895d","claim":"CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap Futures as Binance Invests $100M in Circle","claimUrl":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/22/bitcoin-cash-jumps-22-after-cme-announces-bch-futures/","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":5,"independentCount":5,"independenceBasis":"5 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","wire":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","wire":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","wire":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","wire":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","receipts":[{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/22/bitcoin-cash-jumps-22-after-cme-announces-bch-futures/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379004/cme-crypto-bitcoin-cash-uniswap-futures","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/cme-group-to-launch-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-on-oct-19/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","url":"https://startupfortune.com/cme-groups-plan-for-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-sent-bch-up-30/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","url":"https://www.tekedia.com/cme-group-to-launch-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-as-binance-invests-100m-in-circle/","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/22/bitcoin-cash-jumps-22-after-cme-announces-bch-futures/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379004/cme-crypto-bitcoin-cash-uniswap-futures","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/cme-group-to-launch-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-on-oct-19/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","url":"https://startupfortune.com/cme-groups-plan-for-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-sent-bch-up-30/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"tekedia.com","url":"https://www.tekedia.com/cme-group-to-launch-bitcoin-cash-and-uniswap-futures-as-binance-invests-100m-in-circle/","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":5,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"d7e13567d692","claim":"Coinbase’s fixed-rate Bitcoin loans can put healthy collateral at risk after maturity","claimUrl":"https://crypto.news/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-usdc-loans-backed-by-cbbtc/","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":5,"independentCount":5,"independenceBasis":"5 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","wire":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/23/coinbase-users-can-now-borrow-usdc-against-bitcoin-at-a-fixed-rate","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-usdc-loans-backed-by-cbbtc/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/coinbases-fixed-rate-bitcoin-loans-can-put-healthy-collateral-at-risk-after-maturity/","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379091/borrow-against-bitcoin-fixed-rate-coinbase-morpho","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-bitcoin-backed-loans-through-morpho-midnight/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/23/coinbase-users-can-now-borrow-usdc-against-bitcoin-at-a-fixed-rate","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-usdc-loans-backed-by-cbbtc/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/coinbases-fixed-rate-bitcoin-loans-can-put-healthy-collateral-at-risk-after-maturity/","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379091/borrow-against-bitcoin-fixed-rate-coinbase-morpho","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/coinbase-adds-fixed-rate-bitcoin-backed-loans-through-morpho-midnight/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":5,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"c94772875c22","claim":"Circle launches Bitcoin-backed USDC borrowing, leaving liquidation risk with Morpho protocol","claimUrl":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutional-clients?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","tier":{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","meaning":"Four or more separate publishers carried this. Wire copies and republished copies are collapsed first — but publishers all working from one official statement still count separately, so this is agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":0,"countRule":"4 or more publishers"},"independentOrigins":4,"independentCount":4,"independenceBasis":"4 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","wire":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","wire":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","url":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/stablecoins/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutions-on-arc-and-ethereum/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutional-clients?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/circle-now-lets-institutions-borrow-usdc-against-bitcoin-but-morpho-still-sets-the-rules/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","url":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/stablecoins/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutions-on-arc-and-ethereum/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutional-clients?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/circle-now-lets-institutions-borrow-usdc-against-bitcoin-but-morpho-still-sets-the-rules/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":4,"subjectDocuments":[{"t":"Circle launches Bitcoin-backed USDC borrowing","src":"crypto.news","u":"https://crypto.news/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing/","pd":"2026-09-22"},{"t":"Circle Launches Bitcoin-Backed USDC Borrowing for Institutions on Arc and Ethereum","src":"Bitcoin Foundation","u":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/stablecoins/circle-launches-bitcoin-backed-usdc-borrowing-for-institutions-on-arc-and-ethereum/","pd":"2026-09-22"}],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["document","entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"0c81e564a418","claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just absorbed 11,500 BTC in their biggest buying day in nearly two years","claimUrl":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/crypto-etf/bitcoin-etfs-just-had-their-worst-day-since-june-what-happened/","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","url":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/crypto-etf/bitcoin-etfs-just-had-their-worst-day-since-june-what-happened/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-absorbed-11500-btc-in-their-biggest-buying-day-in-nearly-two-years/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","url":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-999m-biggest-buying-day","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"bitcoinfoundation.org","url":"https://bitcoinfoundation.org/news/crypto-etf/bitcoin-etfs-just-had-their-worst-day-since-june-what-happened/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-absorbed-11500-btc-in-their-biggest-buying-day-in-nearly-two-years/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"yellow.com","url":"https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-999m-biggest-buying-day","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"11a2a6ffd674","claim":"Whitehats move 52 bitcoin from the Coldcard hack to a recovery trust","claimUrl":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","wire":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/white-hats-coldcard-btc-exploit-galaxy?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/378978/white-hat-hackers-coldcard-exploit-bitcoin-recovery-trust","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/white-hats-coldcard-btc-exploit-galaxy?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/378978/white-hat-hackers-coldcard-exploit-bitcoin-recovery-trust","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[{"t":"Whitehats move 52 bitcoin from the Coldcard hack to a recovery trust","src":"CoinDesk — All News","u":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/whitehats-move-52-bitcoin-from-the-coldcard-hack-to-a-recovery-trust","pd":"2026-09-22"}],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["document","entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"1231ce513ce5","claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just erased a $5.7 billion hole, but profit-taking is swallowing the new demand","claimUrl":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-erased-a-5-7-billion-hole-but-profit-taking-is-swallowing-the-new-demand/","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-23","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/25/bitcoin-etfs-have-erased-a-usd5-8-billion-hole","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-erased-a-5-7-billion-hole-but-profit-taking-is-swallowing-the-new-demand/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/bitcoin-etfs-pile-up-2-8-billion-in-a-six-day/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/25/bitcoin-etfs-have-erased-a-usd5-8-billion-hole","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-etfs-just-erased-a-5-7-billion-hole-but-profit-taking-is-swallowing-the-new-demand/","publishedAt":"2026-09-23","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"financefeeds.com","url":"https://financefeeds.com/bitcoin-etfs-pile-up-2-8-billion-in-a-six-day/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"47affdf05b15","claim":"Sequans exits Bitcoin treasury strategy after selling remaining 314 BTC","claimUrl":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-strategy-after-selling-remaining-314-btc?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-24","receipts":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-strategy-after-selling-remaining-314-btc?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","url":"https://cryptobriefing.com/sequans-communications-exits-bitcoin-treasury/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/25/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-15-months-after-setting-100000-btc-goal/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"cointelegraph.com","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-strategy-after-selling-remaining-314-btc?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptobriefing.com","url":"https://cryptobriefing.com/sequans-communications-exits-bitcoin-treasury/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/25/sequans-exits-bitcoin-treasury-15-months-after-setting-100000-btc-goal/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"7377b3d38e5e","claim":"Bitcoin taps $85,000 for first time since January as crypto short liquidations surge","claimUrl":"https://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/Bitcoin-Tops-85000-For-First-Time-Since-Late-January.html","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"oilprice.com","wire":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","wire":false},{"origin":"theblock.co","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"oilprice.com","url":"https://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/Bitcoin-Tops-85000-For-First-Time-Since-Late-January.html","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","url":"https://startupfortune.com/bitcoin-tops-85000-for-the-first-time-since-january-in-a-short-squeeze/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"theblock.co","url":"https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-09-21-bitcoin-taps-85000-for-first-time-since-january-as-crypto-short-liquidations-surge-415905","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"oilprice.com","url":"https://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/Bitcoin-Tops-85000-For-First-Time-Since-Late-January.html","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"startupfortune.com","url":"https://startupfortune.com/bitcoin-tops-85000-for-the-first-time-since-january-in-a-short-squeeze/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"theblock.co","url":"https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-09-21-bitcoin-taps-85000-for-first-time-since-january-as-crypto-short-liquidations-surge-415905","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"a5ec72ab5f11","claim":"Bitcoin could soon get Zcash-style 'shielded' privacy without changing its rules","claimUrl":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-researchers-target-privacy-coins-with-zcash-style-shielded-transfers/","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"independenceBasis":"3 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","wire":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-25","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/09/25/bitcoin-could-soon-get-zcash-style-shielded-privacy-without-changing-its-rules","publishedAt":"2026-09-26","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-researchers-target-privacy-coins-with-zcash-style-shielded-transfers/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379280/researchers-publish-zcash-style-design-for-private-bitcoin-transfers","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/09/25/bitcoin-could-soon-get-zcash-style-shielded-privacy-without-changing-its-rules","publishedAt":"2026-09-26","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptoslate.com","url":"https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-researchers-target-privacy-coins-with-zcash-style-shielded-transfers/","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"decrypt.co","url":"https://decrypt.co/379280/researchers-publish-zcash-style-design-for-private-bitcoin-transfers","publishedAt":"2026-09-25","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":3,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"corroborated"},{"clusterKey":"21b2074e9275","claim":"Strive Buys 1,355 Bitcoin for $107.7 Million, Treasury Hits 26,355 BTC","claimUrl":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/21/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-for-107-7-million-treasury-hits-26355-btc/","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":2,"independentCount":2,"independenceBasis":"2 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coinlaw.io","wire":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-21","receipts":[{"origin":"coinlaw.io","url":"https://coinlaw.io/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-26000-btc-treasury/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/21/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-for-107-7-million-treasury-hits-26355-btc/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coinlaw.io","url":"https://coinlaw.io/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-26000-btc-treasury/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"cryptotimes.io","url":"https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/09/21/strive-buys-1355-bitcoin-for-107-7-million-treasury-hits-26355-btc/","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":2,"subjectDocuments":[],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"single-source"},{"clusterKey":"2f0e28adb5d7","claim":"Elon Musk's X brings bitcoin and stock trading closer to the timeline","claimUrl":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","tier":{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","meaning":"Two or three separate publishers carried this, under the same counting rule — agreement between publishers, not verification of the facts.","rank":1,"countRule":"2 or 3 publishers"},"independentOrigins":2,"independentCount":2,"independenceBasis":"2 distinct publisher(s) after the engine collapsed wires, republishers and near-duplicates; corroborated needs at least 3","independenceState":"measured","origins":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","wire":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","wire":false}],"wires":[],"earliestDate":"2026-09-22","receipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/x-adds-bitcoin-trading-links-for-u-s-users/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originReceipts":[{"origin":"coindesk.com","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false},{"origin":"crypto.news","url":"https://crypto.news/x-adds-bitcoin-trading-links-for-u-s-users/","publishedAt":"2026-09-22","wire":false,"redirect":false}],"originsTotal":2,"subjectDocuments":[{"t":"Elon Musk’s X adds Bitcoin trading links for U.S. users","src":"crypto.news","u":"https://crypto.news/x-adds-bitcoin-trading-links-for-u-s-users/","pd":"2026-09-22"},{"t":"Elon Musk's X brings bitcoin and stock trading closer to the timeline","src":"CoinDesk — All News","u":"https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/22/elon-musk-s-x-brings-bitcoin-and-stock-trading-closer-to-the-timeline","pd":"2026-09-22"}],"claimUrlBasis":"earliest-origin-receipt","receiptState":"measured","receiptReason":null,"matchedOn":["document","entity"],"matchedKeys":["bitcoin"],"state":"single-source"}],"primaryDocuments":[],"marketSensor":{"state":"priced","reason":"","questions":[{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-september-27-2026","pricePct":61.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-26","seenBasis":"the entity's priced capture carries no per-row timestamp; this is the corpus-evidence shard's own build date","endDate":null,"venueStatus":"confirming","boundVia":"entity:bitcoin"},{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-september-29-2026","pricePct":16.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-26","seenBasis":"the entity's priced capture carries no per-row timestamp; this is the corpus-evidence shard's own build date","endDate":null,"venueStatus":"confirming","boundVia":"entity:bitcoin"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","pricePct":50.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-26","seenBasis":"the entity's priced capture carries no per-row timestamp; this is the corpus-evidence shard's own build date","endDate":null,"venueStatus":"confirming","boundVia":"entity:bitcoin"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/will-bitcoin-hit-150k-by-december-31-2027","pricePct":37.5,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-26","endDate":"2028-01-01","venueStatus":"live","boundVia":"event:bitcoin-price-level"},{"question":"Bitcoin above 80,400 on September 1, 12AM ET?","venue":"polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/market/bitcoin-above-80400-on-september-1-2026-12am-et","pricePct":2.3,"priceSeenAt":"2026-09-01","endDate":"2026-09-01","venueStatus":"unknown","boundVia":"event:bitcoin-price-level","numberMismatch":{"question":[1,12,80,400],"url":[1,12,2026,80400],"missingFromUrl":[80,400]},"numberMismatchNote":"the venue's current question text and its URL slug disagree on a number; the URL is the contract as minted, the text is the venue's present wording — verify the threshold at the venue before relying on either"}],"venue":"polymarket","priceAsOf":"2026-09-26","dropped":0,"note":"prices are a sensor we cite and grade, never a probability of ours (docs/decisions/20260817 Not a Forecasting Shop)"},"refereeGrades":[{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-07-04","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-06-11","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-05-10","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-05-08","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?","publishedAt":"2026-04-04","gradedAt":"2026-05-07","outcome":"correct","confidence":"HIGH"}],"theRecord":{"state":"measured","reason":"","documents":597,"outlets":129,"activeDays":9,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","lastSeen":"2026-09-25","assertionMix":{"utterance":96,"price-threshold":36,"rate-decision":31,"acquisition":23,"military-action":13,"launch-release":12},"countsBasis":"event-graph","receiptsOnRecord":21,"withheldFutureDated":0,"droppedInputs":0,"basis":["documents, outlets and the assertion mix are the event graph's corpus-wide counts for this event","active days is a FLOOR — the 9 distinct receipt date(s) on this record, not a full series"]},"ourAttention":{"state":"cannot-measure","level":null,"direction":"unknown","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"},"ourRead":{"state":"measured","reason":"","corroboratedNow":[{"claim":"LIVE: Crypto market retakes $3 trillion as Bitcoin rally eases after hitting 8-month high","clusterKey":"0aa57b200216","tier":"Cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":6,"independentCount":6,"earliestDate":"2026-09-21"},{"claim":"CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap Futures as Binance Invests $100M in Circle","clusterKey":"ceb8d42b895d","tier":"Cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":5,"independentCount":5,"earliestDate":"2026-09-22"},{"claim":"Coinbase’s fixed-rate Bitcoin loans can put healthy collateral at risk after maturity","clusterKey":"d7e13567d692","tier":"Cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":5,"independentCount":5,"earliestDate":"2026-09-22"},{"claim":"Circle launches Bitcoin-backed USDC borrowing, leaving liquidation risk with Morpho protocol","clusterKey":"c94772875c22","tier":"Cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":4,"independentCount":4,"earliestDate":"2026-09-21"},{"claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just absorbed 11,500 BTC in their biggest buying day in nearly two years","clusterKey":"0c81e564a418","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"earliestDate":"2026-09-21"},{"claim":"Whitehats move 52 bitcoin from the Coldcard hack to a recovery trust","clusterKey":"11a2a6ffd674","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"earliestDate":"2026-09-22"},{"claim":"Bitcoin ETFs just erased a $5.7 billion hole, but profit-taking is swallowing the new demand","clusterKey":"1231ce513ce5","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"earliestDate":"2026-09-23"},{"claim":"Sequans exits Bitcoin treasury strategy after selling remaining 314 BTC","clusterKey":"47affdf05b15","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":3,"independentCount":3,"earliestDate":"2026-09-24"}],"corroboratedCount":10,"singleSource":[{"claim":"Strive Buys 1,355 Bitcoin for $107.7 Million, Treasury Hits 26,355 BTC","clusterKey":"21b2074e9275","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":2,"independentCount":2,"earliestDate":"2026-09-21"},{"claim":"Elon Musk's X brings bitcoin and stock trading closer to the timeline","clusterKey":"2f0e28adb5d7","tier":"Some cross-source agreement","independentOrigins":2,"independentCount":2,"earliestDate":"2026-09-22"}],"singleSourceCount":2,"contradicted":{"state":"cannot-measure","items":[],"reason":"no polarity-comparable pair — no two claims on this record share a typed actor and action class over the same proposition, so no contradiction can be judged"},"changedSinceLastRead":{"state":"measured","reason":"","added":[],"removed":[],"tierMoves":[],"against":"2026-09-26"},"divergence":{"state":"measured","reason":"","sensor":{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?","pricePct":61.5,"venue":"polymarket","seenAt":"2026-09-26"},"corroboratedClaims":10,"text":"The crowd prices “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?” at 61.5% on polymarket (seen 2026-09-26), beside 10 independently corroborated claim(s) on this record. The price is a sensor we cite and grade, not a probability of ours."},"heldAsProvenance":[],"inputsDropped":[{"reason":"11 further joined cluster(s) beyond the 12-claim cap"}],"synthesis":null,"synthesisState":"withheld-by-design — synthesis runs only at full tier behind the coherence and no-advice gates, which this builder does not run","basis":[{"artifact":"cross_domain/analysis/whats_true_latest.json","used":"claims, tiers, independent origins","state":"read"},{"artifact":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_market_receipts.json","used":"market sensor (event side)","state":"priced"},{"artifact":"web/signal-bureau/lib/corpus_evidence.json","used":"receipts and priced captures (entity side)","state":"read"}]},"sectionStates":{"definition":{"state":"templated-from-structure","reason":""},"claims":{"state":"measured","reason":""},"primaryDocuments":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},"marketSensor":{"state":"priced","reason":""},"refereeGrades":{"state":"graded","reason":""},"theRecord":{"state":"measured","reason":""},"ourAttention":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"},"ourRead":{"state":"measured","reason":""}},"currency":{"state":"current","asOf":"2026-09-25","basis":{"asOf":"2026-09-26","newestObservationAt":"2026-09-25","newestObservationBasis":"the newest day this record's counted documents carry (event-graph)","ageDays":1,"expectedCadenceDays":14,"cadenceBasis":"this record's own observed cadence — 9 active day(s) over a 125-day window","graceMultiple":1,"wallMultiple":3,"blindSources":[],"retiredAt":null,"recordState":"measured"},"sentence":"This record is current: the newest source item is from 2026-09-25, inside its expected cadence of about one item every 14 days."},"scope":{"state":"measured","reason":null,"countsBasis":"event-graph","countsWindow":{"from":"2026-05-24","to":"2026-09-25","activeDays":9,"documents":597,"outlets":129},"claimsWindow":{"from":"2026-09-20","to":"2026-09-26"},"coverageStart":{"state":"measured","date":"2026-05-24","basis":"first counted document (event-graph)","alternates":[{"date":"2026-07-16","basis":"registered in the publication registry"}],"reason":null},"retiredAt":null,"receipts":{"withReceipt":12,"total":12,"cannotMeasure":0},"claimTiers":[{"id":"strong","label":"Cross-source agreement","rank":0,"count":4},{"id":"moderate","label":"Some cross-source agreement","rank":1,"count":8}],"claimsShown":12,"claimsDropped":11,"claimsAtPublishedTiers":12,"publishedTiers":["strong","moderate"],"note":"This record's counts are the event-graph for this subject — 597 document(s) over 9 active day(s) from 2026-05-24 to 2026-09-25; its 12 claim(s) come from the corroboration run covering 2026-09-20 to 2026-09-26 and include every agreement tier (12 of them at the published tiers strong, moderate), so a cumulative archive total published on another surface counts a different set over a different window and is not expected to match this one. Coverage of this subject begins 2026-05-24 — first counted document (event-graph); other structures date it 2026-07-16 (registered in the publication registry)."},"limits":[{"section":"primaryDocuments","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},{"section":"ourAttention","state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no attention series carries this subject — the entity-trends shard does not index it, so our own attention is UNKNOWN, not zero"}],"verify":{"rest":"GET /api/truth/bitcoin-price-level","mcp":"get_truth_record {\"slug\": \"bitcoin-price-level\"}"},"claimsMeta":{"state":"measured","reason":"","dropped":11},"primaryDocumentsMeta":{"state":"cannot-measure","reason":"no row in registry/truth_sources.yaml names this subject, so it has no registered primary-source layer"},"refereeGradesMeta":{"state":"graded","reason":"","counts":{"published":267,"graded":44,"outcomes":{"correct":27,"incorrect":17}}},"changeLog":[{"at":"2026-09-26","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-26","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-26","what":"claims changed: +3 −3, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-25","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-25","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-25","what":"claims changed: +3 −3, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-24","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-24","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-24","what":"claims changed: +6 −6, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-23","what":"claims changed: +6 −6, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-22","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-22","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-22","what":"claims changed: +8 −6, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-21","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-21","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-21","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-20","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-20","what":"claims changed: +0 −1, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-20","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-20","what":"claims changed: +5 −7, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-19","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-19","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-19","what":"claims changed: +7 −7, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-18","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-18","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-18","what":"claims changed: +7 −7, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-17","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-17","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-17","what":"claims changed: +6 −6, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-16","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-16","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-16","what":"claims changed: +4 −4, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-15","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-15","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-15","what":"claims changed: +5 −5, 0 tier move(s)"},{"at":"2026-09-14","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-14","what":"sections changed"},{"at":"2026-09-14","what":"claims changed: +4 −4, 0 tier move(s)"}],"provenance":{"generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:27:20.561796+00:00","asOf":"2026-09-26","windowStart":"2026-09-20","windowEnd":"2026-09-26","inputs":[{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/publication_state.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","sha":"6dbd177aef85e618"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/signal_bureau_snapshot.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T23:26:29.232977+00:00","sha":"ea2a70b2c8e6a73d"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/corpus_evidence.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T20:45:06.917695+00:00","sha":"564b48bec13092ca"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_graph.json","generatedAt":null,"sha":"5721b3b6f3de4da0"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/event_market_receipts.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26","sha":"eb6cc8a0b05de3e4"},{"path":"web/signal-bureau/lib/entity_trends.json","generatedAt":null,"sha":"7c111da898e1d641"},{"path":"cross_domain/analysis/whats_true_latest.json","generatedAt":"2026-09-26T08:05:06.476473Z","sha":null},{"path":"registry/truth_sources.yaml","generatedAt":null,"sha":"3439a8cab13733c0"},{"path":"cross_domain/predictions","generatedAt":null,"sha":"806f562ba9c33f63"}],"recordVersion":"4d3c39c4838f9ead"}}}